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icon for Crescimento da receita da Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure (moeda constante)?
Finanças·KPIs

Crescimento da receita da Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure (moeda constante)?

icon for Crescimento da receita da Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure (moeda constante)?
Finanças·KPIs

Crescimento da receita da Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure (moeda constante)?

jul 29

jul 29

jul 29

jul 29

jul 29

jul 29

40%-42% 53%

38%-40% 30%

42%-44% 12%

<38% 7%

Polymarket

$17,626 Vol.

40%-42% 53%

38%-40% 30%

42%-44% 12%

<38% 7%

Polymarket

$17,626 Vol.

<38%

$247 Vol.

7%

38%-40%

$8,875 Vol.

30%

40%-42%

$5,740 Vol.

53%

42%-44%

$2,611 Vol.

12%

44%+%

$152 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Microsoft's Q3 FY2026 results delivered Azure growth of 39% in constant currency, prompting management guidance of 39% to 40% for Q4 against a strong prior-year base, which anchors trader expectations around the 40%–42% outcome now holding the highest implied probability at 35.5%. Persistent AI infrastructure demand, including expanding Copilot and OpenAI workloads, supports durability, yet capacity constraints, elevated capital expenditures, and competition from AWS and Google Cloud introduce variability. Currency fluctuations and broader enterprise spending trends further contribute to the tight spread across 38%–44% buckets, reflecting real-money consensus on near-term execution risks ahead of the upcoming earnings release.

This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$17,626
Data de Término
29 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Microsoft's Q3 FY2026 results delivered Azure growth of 39% in constant currency, prompting management guidance of 39% to 40% for Q4 against a strong prior-year base, which anchors trader expectations around the 40%–42% outcome now holding the highest implied probability at 35.5%. Persistent AI infrastructure demand, including expanding Copilot and OpenAI workloads, supports durability, yet capacity constraints, elevated capital expenditures, and competition from AWS and Google Cloud introduce variability. Currency fluctuations and broader enterprise spending trends further contribute to the tight spread across 38%–44% buckets, reflecting real-money consensus on near-term execution risks ahead of the upcoming earnings release.

This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$17,626
Data de Término
29 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Crescimento da receita da Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure (moeda constante)?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "40%-42%" at 53%, followed by "38%-40%" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Crescimento da receita da Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure (moeda constante)?" has generated $17.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Crescimento da receita da Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure (moeda constante)?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Crescimento da receita da Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure (moeda constante)?" is "40%-42%" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "38%-40%" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Crescimento da receita da Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure (moeda constante)?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.