Meta's aggressive ramp-up in AI infrastructure spending, with 2026 capex guidance now lifted to a $130–145 billion range following its July 29 earnings release, has intensified trader focus on cash flow compression and near-term valuation pressure. Revenue grew 28% year-over-year to $60.8 billion on ad platform strength, yet free cash flow plunged sharply and shares fell about 10% in after-hours trading, pushing market cap into the $1.4–1.5 trillion zone. With only weeks remaining until end-of-August resolution, this combination of elevated compute investments, mixed guidance, and ongoing AI buildout costs positions the sub-$1 trillion bucket as the leading outcome while leaving higher ranges sensitive to any rebound in sentiment or ad momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado<$1.00T 50%
$1.25-$1.50T 50%
$1.00-$1.25T 27%
$1.50-$1.75T 27%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
<$1.00T
50%
$1.00-$1.25T
27%
$1.25-$1.50T
50%
$1.50-$1.75T
27%
$1.75-$2.00T
26%
$2.00-$2.25T
26%
$2.25T+
27%
<$1.00T 50%
$1.25-$1.50T 50%
$1.00-$1.25T 27%
$1.50-$1.75T 27%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
<$1.00T
$0 Vol.
50%
$1.00-$1.25T
$0 Vol.
27%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 Vol.
50%
$1.50-$1.75T
$0 Vol.
27%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 Vol.
26%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 Vol.
26%
$2.25T+
$0 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta's aggressive ramp-up in AI infrastructure spending, with 2026 capex guidance now lifted to a $130–145 billion range following its July 29 earnings release, has intensified trader focus on cash flow compression and near-term valuation pressure. Revenue grew 28% year-over-year to $60.8 billion on ad platform strength, yet free cash flow plunged sharply and shares fell about 10% in after-hours trading, pushing market cap into the $1.4–1.5 trillion zone. With only weeks remaining until end-of-August resolution, this combination of elevated compute investments, mixed guidance, and ongoing AI buildout costs positions the sub-$1 trillion bucket as the leading outcome while leaving higher ranges sensitive to any rebound in sentiment or ad momentum.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta's aggressive ramp-up in AI infrastructure spending, with 2026 capex guidance now lifted to a $130–145 billion range following its July 29 earnings release, has intensified trader focus on cash flow compression and near-term valuation pressure. Revenue grew 28% year-over-year to $60.8 billion on ad platform strength, yet free cash flow plunged sharply and shares fell about 10% in after-hours trading, pushing market cap into the $1.4–1.5 trillion zone. With only weeks remaining until end-of-August resolution, this combination of elevated compute investments, mixed guidance, and ongoing AI buildout costs positions the sub-$1 trillion bucket as the leading outcome while leaving higher ranges sensitive to any rebound in sentiment or ad momentum.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$0Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meta's aggressive ramp-up in AI infrastructure spending, with 2026 capex guidance now lifted to a $130–145 billion range following its July 29 earnings release, has intensified trader focus on cash flow compression and near-term valuation pressure. Revenue grew 28% year-over-year to $60.8 billion on ad platform strength, yet free cash flow plunged sharply and shares fell about 10% in after-hours trading, pushing market cap into the $1.4–1.5 trillion zone. With only weeks remaining until end-of-August resolution, this combination of elevated compute investments, mixed guidance, and ongoing AI buildout costs positions the sub-$1 trillion bucket as the leading outcome while leaving higher ranges sensitive to any rebound in sentiment or ad momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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