Trader sentiment centers on Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance projecting a minimum near 27°C for August 7, consistent with the 54% implied probability on that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions—elevated humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover or showers, and seasonal averages of 26–28°C—anchor the distribution, with 28°C and 26°C sharing the next tiers. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, amid a long-term warming trend, supports limited downside risk below 26°C. Short-term forecasts indicating showers on the 7th further constrain cooling potential, while any unexpected clear-sky window could allow a dip toward 26°C. Resolution hinges on the official verified low from the Observatory’s network.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 7 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 7 de agosto?
27°C 52%
28°C 31%
26°C 16%
29°C 5%
NOVO
$20,517 Vol.
NOVO
$20,517 Vol.
7 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
16%
27°C
52%
28°C
31%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 31%
26°C 16%
29°C 5%
NOVO
$20,517 Vol.
NOVO
$20,517 Vol.
7 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
$501 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$561 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$521 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,448 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,467 Vol.
5%
26°C
$3,897 Vol.
16%
27°C
$2,760 Vol.
52%
28°C
$4,544 Vol.
31%
29°C
$2,737 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou mais
$737 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment centers on Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance projecting a minimum near 27°C for August 7, consistent with the 54% implied probability on that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions—elevated humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover or showers, and seasonal averages of 26–28°C—anchor the distribution, with 28°C and 26°C sharing the next tiers. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, amid a long-term warming trend, supports limited downside risk below 26°C. Short-term forecasts indicating showers on the 7th further constrain cooling potential, while any unexpected clear-sky window could allow a dip toward 26°C. Resolution hinges on the official verified low from the Observatory’s network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20,517Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment centers on Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance projecting a minimum near 27°C for August 7, consistent with the 54% implied probability on that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions—elevated humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover or showers, and seasonal averages of 26–28°C—anchor the distribution, with 28°C and 26°C sharing the next tiers. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, amid a long-term warming trend, supports limited downside risk below 26°C. Short-term forecasts indicating showers on the 7th further constrain cooling potential, while any unexpected clear-sky window could allow a dip toward 26°C. Resolution hinges on the official verified low from the Observatory’s network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,517Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance projecting a minimum near 27°C for August 7, consistent with the 54% implied probability on that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions—elevated humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover or showers, and seasonal averages of 26–28°C—anchor the distribution, with 28°C and 26°C sharing the next tiers. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, amid a long-term warming trend, supports limited downside risk below 26°C. Short-term forecasts indicating showers on the 7th further constrain cooling potential, while any unexpected clear-sky window could allow a dip toward 26°C. Resolution hinges on the official verified low from the Observatory’s network.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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