**Lee Jae-myung holds South Korea’s presidency with Democratic Party control of a National Assembly supermajority, creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires two-thirds legislative support followed by Constitutional Court review.** No active proceedings or opposition momentum exist as of mid-2026, and the party’s legislative dominance extends through the next general election in 2028. Recent approval ratings have declined to the low-to-mid 40s amid housing, tax, and local election issues, yet remain sufficient to sustain governing stability without triggering removal catalysts. Lee has prioritized pragmatic policy adjustments, North Korea engagement, and foreign policy continuity, avoiding the acute crises that precipitated the prior administration’s ouster. Traders price the “No” outcome at 89.5% because these institutional and political conditions make near-term impeachment improbable before 2027 absent unforeseen major developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?
Lee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?
Sim
11% chance
$20,368 Vol.
$20,368 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Sim
11% chance
$20,368 Vol.
$20,368 Vol.
30 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**Lee Jae-myung holds South Korea’s presidency with Democratic Party control of a National Assembly supermajority, creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires two-thirds legislative support followed by Constitutional Court review.** No active proceedings or opposition momentum exist as of mid-2026, and the party’s legislative dominance extends through the next general election in 2028. Recent approval ratings have declined to the low-to-mid 40s amid housing, tax, and local election issues, yet remain sufficient to sustain governing stability without triggering removal catalysts. Lee has prioritized pragmatic policy adjustments, North Korea engagement, and foreign policy continuity, avoiding the acute crises that precipitated the prior administration’s ouster. Traders price the “No” outcome at 89.5% because these institutional and political conditions make near-term impeachment improbable before 2027 absent unforeseen major developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$20,368Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**Lee Jae-myung holds South Korea’s presidency with Democratic Party control of a National Assembly supermajority, creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires two-thirds legislative support followed by Constitutional Court review.** No active proceedings or opposition momentum exist as of mid-2026, and the party’s legislative dominance extends through the next general election in 2028. Recent approval ratings have declined to the low-to-mid 40s amid housing, tax, and local election issues, yet remain sufficient to sustain governing stability without triggering removal catalysts. Lee has prioritized pragmatic policy adjustments, North Korea engagement, and foreign policy continuity, avoiding the acute crises that precipitated the prior administration’s ouster. Traders price the “No” outcome at 89.5% because these institutional and political conditions make near-term impeachment improbable before 2027 absent unforeseen major developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$20,368Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Lee Jae-myung holds South Korea’s presidency with Democratic Party control of a National Assembly supermajority, creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires two-thirds legislative support followed by Constitutional Court review.** No active proceedings or opposition momentum exist as of mid-2026, and the party’s legislative dominance extends through the next general election in 2028. Recent approval ratings have declined to the low-to-mid 40s amid housing, tax, and local election issues, yet remain sufficient to sustain governing stability without triggering removal catalysts. Lee has prioritized pragmatic policy adjustments, North Korea engagement, and foreign policy continuity, avoiding the acute crises that precipitated the prior administration’s ouster. Traders price the “No” outcome at 89.5% because these institutional and political conditions make near-term impeachment improbable before 2027 absent unforeseen major developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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