**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party maintains a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeachment that requires two-thirds support followed by Constitutional Court review.** No active impeachment motions, major unresolved scandals, or broad cross-party consensus have emerged since he took office in June 2025. Recent polling shows his approval rating declining to 43% amid debates over housing taxes, real estate policy, and local election fallout, yet this has not translated into organized legislative action. Historical precedent from Yoon Suk-yeol’s 2024–2025 removal demonstrates that successful impeachments typically follow acute crises with wide political backing, conditions absent here. Traders price the low probability of formal removal before 2027 around these institutional and political realities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?
Lee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?
Sim
11% chance
$20,368 Vol.
$20,368 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Sim
11% chance
$20,368 Vol.
$20,368 Vol.
30 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party maintains a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeachment that requires two-thirds support followed by Constitutional Court review.** No active impeachment motions, major unresolved scandals, or broad cross-party consensus have emerged since he took office in June 2025.
Recent polling shows his approval rating declining to 43% amid debates over housing taxes, real estate policy, and local election fallout, yet this has not translated into organized legislative action. Historical precedent from Yoon Suk-yeol’s 2024–2025 removal demonstrates that successful impeachments typically follow acute crises with wide political backing, conditions absent here. Traders price the low probability of formal removal before 2027 around these institutional and political realities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$20,368Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party maintains a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeachment that requires two-thirds support followed by Constitutional Court review.** No active impeachment motions, major unresolved scandals, or broad cross-party consensus have emerged since he took office in June 2025.
Recent polling shows his approval rating declining to 43% amid debates over housing taxes, real estate policy, and local election fallout, yet this has not translated into organized legislative action. Historical precedent from Yoon Suk-yeol’s 2024–2025 removal demonstrates that successful impeachments typically follow acute crises with wide political backing, conditions absent here. Traders price the low probability of formal removal before 2027 around these institutional and political realities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$20,368Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party maintains a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeachment that requires two-thirds support followed by Constitutional Court review.** No active impeachment motions, major unresolved scandals, or broad cross-party consensus have emerged since he took office in June 2025. Recent polling shows his approval rating declining to 43% amid debates over housing taxes, real estate policy, and local election fallout, yet this has not translated into organized legislative action. Historical precedent from Yoon Suk-yeol’s 2024–2025 removal demonstrates that successful impeachments typically follow acute crises with wide political backing, conditions absent here. Traders price the low probability of formal removal before 2027 around these institutional and political realities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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