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icon for Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?

<5 78%

5-9 20%

10-14 2.9%

15-19 2.2%

Polymarket

$13,422 Vol.

<5 78%

5-9 20%

10-14 2.9%

15-19 2.2%

Polymarket

$13,422 Vol.

<5

$7,666 Vol.

78%

5-9

$1,105 Vol.

20%

10-14

$606 Vol.

3%

15-19

$408 Vol.

2%

20-24

$616 Vol.

1%

25-29

$289 Vol.

1%

30-34

$917 Vol.

1%

35-39

$281 Vol.

<1%

40-44

$276 Vol.

<1%

45-49

$282 Vol.

<1%

50-54

$282 Vol.

<1%

55-59

$276 Vol.

<1%

60+

$416 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account associated with Iran's late Supreme Leader maintains low posting volume, with recent August activity limited to occasional reposts of archival statements on topics such as Arbaeen and historical events rather than new content. Trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the August 7-14 window reflects this established pattern of infrequent updates from the verified handle, even amid ongoing regional tensions and institutional transitions. Mojtaba Khamenei's separate account has shown higher activity in prior months, but the market focuses on the primary Khamenei.ir channel, where no major diplomatic, military, or institutional announcements have triggered elevated output in the current period. Historical base rates for the account further support limited volume unless a high-profile escalation or official statement intervenes before the window closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$13,422
Data de Término
14 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account associated with Iran's late Supreme Leader maintains low posting volume, with recent August activity limited to occasional reposts of archival statements on topics such as Arbaeen and historical events rather than new content. Trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the August 7-14 window reflects this established pattern of infrequent updates from the verified handle, even amid ongoing regional tensions and institutional transitions. Mojtaba Khamenei's separate account has shown higher activity in prior months, but the market focuses on the primary Khamenei.ir channel, where no major diplomatic, military, or institutional announcements have triggered elevated output in the current period. Historical base rates for the account further support limited volume unless a high-profile escalation or official statement intervenes before the window closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$13,422
Data de Término
14 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 78%, followed by "5-9" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?" has generated $13.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?" is "<5" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.