Recent Tokyo and national core CPI readings, hovering around 1.8% year-over-year through August 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 annual figure, with government energy subsidies and favorable base effects offsetting oil price pressures from Middle East tensions. Underlying gauges excluding fresh food and energy have edged to 2.0%, while the Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects fiscal-year core CPI near 2.5% amid yen weakness and gradual pass-through. The near-even split between the ≤1.9% (51.2%) and 2.0-2.4% (43.5%) brackets reflects uncertainty over whether moderating headline prints will persist or if accelerating wage-price dynamics and producer costs will push the full-year outcome higher. Key near-term catalysts include the September BOJ policy meeting and September CPI release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado≤1,9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2,5-2,9% 3.1%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,699 Vol.
$40,699 Vol.
22 jan 2027
≤1,9%
51%
2.0-2.4%
44%
2,5-2,9%
3%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3,5-3,9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1,9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2,5-2,9% 3.1%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,699 Vol.
$40,699 Vol.
22 jan 2027
≤1,9%
$19,302 Vol.
51%
2.0-2.4%
$11,384 Vol.
44%
2,5-2,9%
$5,548 Vol.
3%
3.0-3.4%
$1,661 Vol.
1%
3,5-3,9%
$1,253 Vol.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,551 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Tokyo and national core CPI readings, hovering around 1.8% year-over-year through August 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 annual figure, with government energy subsidies and favorable base effects offsetting oil price pressures from Middle East tensions. Underlying gauges excluding fresh food and energy have edged to 2.0%, while the Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects fiscal-year core CPI near 2.5% amid yen weakness and gradual pass-through. The near-even split between the ≤1.9% (51.2%) and 2.0-2.4% (43.5%) brackets reflects uncertainty over whether moderating headline prints will persist or if accelerating wage-price dynamics and producer costs will push the full-year outcome higher. Key near-term catalysts include the September BOJ policy meeting and September CPI release.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$40,699Data de Término
22 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Tokyo and national core CPI readings, hovering around 1.8% year-over-year through August 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 annual figure, with government energy subsidies and favorable base effects offsetting oil price pressures from Middle East tensions. Underlying gauges excluding fresh food and energy have edged to 2.0%, while the Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects fiscal-year core CPI near 2.5% amid yen weakness and gradual pass-through. The near-even split between the ≤1.9% (51.2%) and 2.0-2.4% (43.5%) brackets reflects uncertainty over whether moderating headline prints will persist or if accelerating wage-price dynamics and producer costs will push the full-year outcome higher. Key near-term catalysts include the September BOJ policy meeting and September CPI release.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volume
$40,699Data de Término
22 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Tokyo and national core CPI readings, hovering around 1.8% year-over-year through August 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 annual figure, with government energy subsidies and favorable base effects offsetting oil price pressures from Middle East tensions. Underlying gauges excluding fresh food and energy have edged to 2.0%, while the Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects fiscal-year core CPI near 2.5% amid yen weakness and gradual pass-through. The near-even split between the ≤1.9% (51.2%) and 2.0-2.4% (43.5%) brackets reflects uncertainty over whether moderating headline prints will persist or if accelerating wage-price dynamics and producer costs will push the full-year outcome higher. Key near-term catalysts include the September BOJ policy meeting and September CPI release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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