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Geopolítica·Óleo

Os houthis visam com sucesso o envio em...?

icon for Os houthis visam com sucesso o envio em...?
Geopolítica·Óleo

Os houthis visam com sucesso o envio em...?

ago 31

ago 31

$68,465 Vol.

1 ago 2026
Polymarket

$68,465 Vol.

Polymarket

July 27

$1,420 Vol.

3%

July 28

$3,822 Vol.

32%

July 29

$1,709 Vol.

6%

30 de julho

$2,585 Vol.

2%

31 de julho

$2,125 Vol.

1%

1º de agosto

$2,215 Vol.

18%

2 de agosto

$1,502 Vol.

50%

3 de agosto

$2,485 Vol.

13%

4 de agosto

$578 Vol.

12%

5 de agosto

$683 Vol.

14%

6 de agosto

$872 Vol.

12%

7 de agosto

$688 Vol.

30%

8 de agosto

$706 Vol.

13%

9 de agosto

$483 Vol.

11%

10 de agosto

$298 Vol.

10%

11 de agosto

$2,348 Vol.

10%

12 de agosto

$623 Vol.

11%

13 de agosto

$331 Vol.

19%

14 de agosto

$1,278 Vol.

12%

15 de agosto

$1,660 Vol.

8%

16 de agosto

$1,818 Vol.

9%

17 de agosto

$1,356 Vol.

10%

18 de agosto

$406 Vol.

11%

19 de agosto

$1,119 Vol.

25%

20 de agosto

$2,472 Vol.

9%

21 de agosto

$1,393 Vol.

12%

22 de agosto

$64 Vol.

12%

23 de agosto

$73 Vol.

14%

24 de agosto

$330 Vol.

11%

25 de agosto

$1,965 Vol.

9%

26 de agosto

$230 Vol.

16%

27 de agosto

$1,339 Vol.

16%

28 de agosto

$674 Vol.

12%

29 de agosto

$1,224 Vol.

9%

30 de agosto

$1,593 Vol.

11%

31 de agosto

$2,916 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Recent Houthi attacks on Saudi Aramco facilities and oil tankers in late July 2026, including strikes near Jizan and Yanbu that slowed Bab el-Mandeb traffic, form the core driver behind trader positioning on successful targeting of shipping. These actions, tied to a declared naval blockade of Saudi exports amid the broader Iran conflict, have prompted rerouting, elevated war-risk insurance premiums, and concerns over constrained Saudi crude flows. Oil price volatility has increased as markets price in potential supply disruptions, with tanker operators facing higher costs and delays through the strait. Key near-term catalysts include any Saudi naval response, further Houthi statements on fees or escalation, and shifts in regional hostilities that could alter maritime risk assessments through August.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.

Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.

Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.

Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volume
$68,465
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Recent Houthi attacks on Saudi Aramco facilities and oil tankers in late July 2026, including strikes near Jizan and Yanbu that slowed Bab el-Mandeb traffic, form the core driver behind trader positioning on successful targeting of shipping. These actions, tied to a declared naval blockade of Saudi exports amid the broader Iran conflict, have prompted rerouting, elevated war-risk insurance premiums, and concerns over constrained Saudi crude flows. Oil price volatility has increased as markets price in potential supply disruptions, with tanker operators facing higher costs and delays through the strait. Key near-term catalysts include any Saudi naval response, further Houthi statements on fees or escalation, and shifts in regional hostilities that could alter maritime risk assessments through August.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.

Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.

Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.

Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volume
$68,465
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Os houthis visam com sucesso o envio em...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 39 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "July 24" at 100%, followed by "2 de agosto" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Os houthis visam com sucesso o envio em...?" has generated $68.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Os houthis visam com sucesso o envio em...?," browse the 39 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Os houthis visam com sucesso o envio em...?" is "July 24" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2 de agosto" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Os houthis visam com sucesso o envio em...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.