**Recent forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a high of around 9–11°C in Wellington on August 16, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s strong consensus on 10°C (63.5% implied probability).** Southerly winds are expected to advect cooler air across Cook Strait, limiting daytime heating under a mix of cloud and light showers. These conditions match typical mid-August climatology, where average highs hover near 12°C but frequently dip lower during southerly outbreaks. Recent developments, including a burst of polar air earlier in the month followed by a modest warming trend, have kept model guidance stable for the weekend, with little divergence among runs. Traders appear to weight the official MetService and NIWA outlooks heavily, which emphasize modest southerly flow and limited insolation. This produces tight clustering around 9–11°C while assigning very low odds to extremes below 8°C or above 12°C, reflecting both seasonal norms and the current forecast consensus two days out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 16 de agosto?
10°C 64%
11°C 22%
9°C 11%
12°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
11%
10°C
64%
11°C
22%
12°C
4%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 64%
11°C 22%
9°C 11%
12°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
4°C or below
$223 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$304 Vol.
2%
9°C
$1,119 Vol.
11%
10°C
$2,047 Vol.
64%
11°C
$744 Vol.
22%
12°C
$327 Vol.
4%
13°C
$76 Vol.
1%
14°C or higher
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a high of around 9–11°C in Wellington on August 16, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s strong consensus on 10°C (63.5% implied probability).** Southerly winds are expected to advect cooler air across Cook Strait, limiting daytime heating under a mix of cloud and light showers. These conditions match typical mid-August climatology, where average highs hover near 12°C but frequently dip lower during southerly outbreaks.
Recent developments, including a burst of polar air earlier in the month followed by a modest warming trend, have kept model guidance stable for the weekend, with little divergence among runs. Traders appear to weight the official MetService and NIWA outlooks heavily, which emphasize modest southerly flow and limited insolation. This produces tight clustering around 9–11°C while assigning very low odds to extremes below 8°C or above 12°C, reflecting both seasonal norms and the current forecast consensus two days out.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,373Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a high of around 9–11°C in Wellington on August 16, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s strong consensus on 10°C (63.5% implied probability).** Southerly winds are expected to advect cooler air across Cook Strait, limiting daytime heating under a mix of cloud and light showers. These conditions match typical mid-August climatology, where average highs hover near 12°C but frequently dip lower during southerly outbreaks.
Recent developments, including a burst of polar air earlier in the month followed by a modest warming trend, have kept model guidance stable for the weekend, with little divergence among runs. Traders appear to weight the official MetService and NIWA outlooks heavily, which emphasize modest southerly flow and limited insolation. This produces tight clustering around 9–11°C while assigning very low odds to extremes below 8°C or above 12°C, reflecting both seasonal norms and the current forecast consensus two days out.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,373Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a high of around 9–11°C in Wellington on August 16, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s strong consensus on 10°C (63.5% implied probability).** Southerly winds are expected to advect cooler air across Cook Strait, limiting daytime heating under a mix of cloud and light showers. These conditions match typical mid-August climatology, where average highs hover near 12°C but frequently dip lower during southerly outbreaks. Recent developments, including a burst of polar air earlier in the month followed by a modest warming trend, have kept model guidance stable for the weekend, with little divergence among runs. Traders appear to weight the official MetService and NIWA outlooks heavily, which emphasize modest southerly flow and limited insolation. This produces tight clustering around 9–11°C while assigning very low odds to extremes below 8°C or above 12°C, reflecting both seasonal norms and the current forecast consensus two days out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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