**Forecast models from sources like GFS and local meteorological services project a daily maximum of 20–21°C in Warsaw on September 5, 2026, driven by moderate westerly winds of 15–25 km/h, partly cloudy skies limiting peak insolation, and a stable Atlantic-influenced air mass typical for early September.** Observed morning temperatures near 18–19°C and afternoon readings climbing toward 20–21°C align with the climatic norm of roughly 20°C maximum, without strong high-pressure subsidence or warm advection to push readings higher. Scattered showers expected later in the day may further cap the peak. Market-implied odds heavily favor 21°C (51.5%) over 20°C or 22°C, reflecting trader assessment of these ensemble forecasts and real-time station data as the most probable resolution outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 5 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 5 de setembro?
21°C 60%
22°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C <1%
$16,585 Vol.
$16,585 Vol.
5 set 2026
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
18%
21°C
57%
22°C
24%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 60%
22°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C <1%
$16,585 Vol.
$16,585 Vol.
5 set 2026
18°C ou menos
$512 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4,688 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,817 Vol.
18%
21°C
$3,539 Vol.
57%
22°C
$2,532 Vol.
24%
23°C
$945 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$527 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou mais
$195 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and local meteorological services project a daily maximum of 20–21°C in Warsaw on September 5, 2026, driven by moderate westerly winds of 15–25 km/h, partly cloudy skies limiting peak insolation, and a stable Atlantic-influenced air mass typical for early September.**
Observed morning temperatures near 18–19°C and afternoon readings climbing toward 20–21°C align with the climatic norm of roughly 20°C maximum, without strong high-pressure subsidence or warm advection to push readings higher. Scattered showers expected later in the day may further cap the peak. Market-implied odds heavily favor 21°C (51.5%) over 20°C or 22°C, reflecting trader assessment of these ensemble forecasts and real-time station data as the most probable resolution outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$16,585Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and local meteorological services project a daily maximum of 20–21°C in Warsaw on September 5, 2026, driven by moderate westerly winds of 15–25 km/h, partly cloudy skies limiting peak insolation, and a stable Atlantic-influenced air mass typical for early September.**
Observed morning temperatures near 18–19°C and afternoon readings climbing toward 20–21°C align with the climatic norm of roughly 20°C maximum, without strong high-pressure subsidence or warm advection to push readings higher. Scattered showers expected later in the day may further cap the peak. Market-implied odds heavily favor 21°C (51.5%) over 20°C or 22°C, reflecting trader assessment of these ensemble forecasts and real-time station data as the most probable resolution outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,585Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and local meteorological services project a daily maximum of 20–21°C in Warsaw on September 5, 2026, driven by moderate westerly winds of 15–25 km/h, partly cloudy skies limiting peak insolation, and a stable Atlantic-influenced air mass typical for early September.** Observed morning temperatures near 18–19°C and afternoon readings climbing toward 20–21°C align with the climatic norm of roughly 20°C maximum, without strong high-pressure subsidence or warm advection to push readings higher. Scattered showers expected later in the day may further cap the peak. Market-implied odds heavily favor 21°C (51.5%) over 20°C or 22°C, reflecting trader assessment of these ensemble forecasts and real-time station data as the most probable resolution outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions