Current ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on July 26 show maximum temperatures clustered around 29–31°C, with model consensus split between partly cloudy conditions allowing strong daytime heating and scattered showers that could cap peaks near 29°C. Primary drivers include warm southerly advection at 850 hPa, variable cloud cover from a weak frontal boundary, and modest urban heat-island effects in the city center. Minor differences in predicted insolation timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight spread across 29–31°C outcomes, while longer-range runs indicate low risk of extremes outside this range. Updated model guidance from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 26 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 26 de julho?
30°C 40%
31°C 28%
29°C 27%
28°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
26 jul 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
27%
30°C
40%
31°C
28%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 28%
29°C 27%
28°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
26 jul 2026
25°C or below
$85 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$131 Vol.
1%
27°C
$98 Vol.
2%
28°C
$67 Vol.
5%
29°C
$226 Vol.
27%
30°C
$120 Vol.
40%
31°C
$246 Vol.
28%
32°C
$105 Vol.
4%
33°C
$94 Vol.
1%
34°C
$172 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$93 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on July 26 show maximum temperatures clustered around 29–31°C, with model consensus split between partly cloudy conditions allowing strong daytime heating and scattered showers that could cap peaks near 29°C. Primary drivers include warm southerly advection at 850 hPa, variable cloud cover from a weak frontal boundary, and modest urban heat-island effects in the city center. Minor differences in predicted insolation timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight spread across 29–31°C outcomes, while longer-range runs indicate low risk of extremes outside this range. Updated model guidance from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,436Data de Término
26 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on July 26 show maximum temperatures clustered around 29–31°C, with model consensus split between partly cloudy conditions allowing strong daytime heating and scattered showers that could cap peaks near 29°C. Primary drivers include warm southerly advection at 850 hPa, variable cloud cover from a weak frontal boundary, and modest urban heat-island effects in the city center. Minor differences in predicted insolation timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight spread across 29–31°C outcomes, while longer-range runs indicate low risk of extremes outside this range. Updated model guidance from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,436Data de Término
26 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on July 26 show maximum temperatures clustered around 29–31°C, with model consensus split between partly cloudy conditions allowing strong daytime heating and scattered showers that could cap peaks near 29°C. Primary drivers include warm southerly advection at 850 hPa, variable cloud cover from a weak frontal boundary, and modest urban heat-island effects in the city center. Minor differences in predicted insolation timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight spread across 29–31°C outcomes, while longer-range runs indicate low risk of extremes outside this range. Updated model guidance from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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