Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a typical summer marine layer along the California coast moderating San Francisco highs near 70–73°F on August 7, aligning with the market’s closely matched leading bins at 31% and 30.5%. Onshore flow and persistent stratus or fog limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, while subtle variations in sea-breeze strength or high-pressure positioning could shift the official maximum by a degree or two. Historical August maxima average around 70°F at downtown stations, with model consensus showing only modest spread due to stable synoptic patterns rather than offshore heat advection. Updated morning soundings and short-range guidance will clarify whether reduced cloud cover allows the upper end of that narrow range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 7 de agosto?
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 14%
65°F ou menos
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F ou mais
<1%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 14%
65°F ou menos
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a typical summer marine layer along the California coast moderating San Francisco highs near 70–73°F on August 7, aligning with the market’s closely matched leading bins at 31% and 30.5%. Onshore flow and persistent stratus or fog limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, while subtle variations in sea-breeze strength or high-pressure positioning could shift the official maximum by a degree or two. Historical August maxima average around 70°F at downtown stations, with model consensus showing only modest spread due to stable synoptic patterns rather than offshore heat advection. Updated morning soundings and short-range guidance will clarify whether reduced cloud cover allows the upper end of that narrow range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions