The closely matched trader probabilities for 30–31°C as the daily maximum in Panama City on July 24 stem from typical wet-season variability, where average July highs hover near 30°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviations from climatological norms, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and trade-wind patterns likely capping or slightly elevating peaks depending on timing of rainfall. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the 1°C threshold, as modest differences in insolation or storm development can shift the observed high between 29–32°C. Official station data from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Panamá em 24 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Panamá em 24 de julho?
31°C 38%
30°C 31%
29°C 17%
32°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
24 jul 2026
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
17%
30°C
31%
31°C
38%
32°C
16%
33°C
2%
34°C ou mais
1%
31°C 38%
30°C 31%
29°C 17%
32°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
24 jul 2026
24°C ou menos
$71 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$97 Vol.
1%
26°C
$73 Vol.
1%
27°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$68 Vol.
2%
29°C
$401 Vol.
17%
30°C
$139 Vol.
31%
31°C
$131 Vol.
38%
32°C
$183 Vol.
16%
33°C
$60 Vol.
2%
34°C ou mais
$127 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched trader probabilities for 30–31°C as the daily maximum in Panama City on July 24 stem from typical wet-season variability, where average July highs hover near 30°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviations from climatological norms, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and trade-wind patterns likely capping or slightly elevating peaks depending on timing of rainfall. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the 1°C threshold, as modest differences in insolation or storm development can shift the observed high between 29–32°C. Official station data from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,439Data de Término
24 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched trader probabilities for 30–31°C as the daily maximum in Panama City on July 24 stem from typical wet-season variability, where average July highs hover near 30°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviations from climatological norms, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and trade-wind patterns likely capping or slightly elevating peaks depending on timing of rainfall. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the 1°C threshold, as modest differences in insolation or storm development can shift the observed high between 29–32°C. Official station data from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,439Data de Término
24 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader probabilities for 30–31°C as the daily maximum in Panama City on July 24 stem from typical wet-season variability, where average July highs hover near 30°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviations from climatological norms, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and trade-wind patterns likely capping or slightly elevating peaks depending on timing of rainfall. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the 1°C threshold, as modest differences in insolation or storm development can shift the observed high between 29–32°C. Official station data from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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