Forecast models from agencies including Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources such as the National Weather Service indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C for Mexico City on August 6, 2026, amid the rainy season’s typical afternoon convection. High elevation and frequent cloud build-up or showers often cap temperatures below clear-sky potential, creating tight differentiation between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Recent model runs and yesterday’s observed high near 26°C sustain trader focus on the upper end of the narrow range, while any earlier or heavier rainfall could shift the peak lower. Upcoming afternoon observations and updated short-range guidance will clarify whether steering patterns allow brief clearing sufficient for the leading market-implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 6 de agosto?
26°C 40%
25°C 33%
27°C 14%
24°C 9%
23°C ou menos
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
33%
26°C
40%
27°C
14%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 33%
27°C 14%
24°C 9%
23°C ou menos
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
33%
26°C
40%
27°C
14%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources such as the National Weather Service indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C for Mexico City on August 6, 2026, amid the rainy season’s typical afternoon convection. High elevation and frequent cloud build-up or showers often cap temperatures below clear-sky potential, creating tight differentiation between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Recent model runs and yesterday’s observed high near 26°C sustain trader focus on the upper end of the narrow range, while any earlier or heavier rainfall could shift the peak lower. Upcoming afternoon observations and updated short-range guidance will clarify whether steering patterns allow brief clearing sufficient for the leading market-implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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