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icon for Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 22 de julho?

Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 22 de julho?

icon for Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 22 de julho?

Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 22 de julho?

40°C 39%

41°C 25%

39°C 21%

38°C 9%

Polymarket
NOVO

$33,844 Vol.

40°C 39%

41°C 25%

39°C 21%

38°C 9%

Polymarket
NOVO

$33,844 Vol.

34°C ou menos

$1,323 Vol.

<1%

35°C

$6,306 Vol.

<1%

36°C

$1,011 Vol.

1%

37°C

$1,334 Vol.

2%

38°C

$2,747 Vol.

9%

39°C

$2,496 Vol.

21%

40°C

$3,543 Vol.

39%

41°C

$8,256 Vol.

25%

42°C

$4,292 Vol.

9%

43°C

$1,292 Vol.

1%

44°C ou mais

$1,243 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature in the upper 30s Celsius for Chengdu on July 22, 2026, amid the influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High.** This ridge typically sustains hot, subsiding air over the Sichuan Basin during peak summer, amplified by the urban heat island effect and high humidity that limits nighttime cooling. Recent model runs show modest variability, with some projecting 38–39°C under partly cloudy conditions and others allowing brief excursions toward 40–41°C if subsidence strengthens or winds remain light. Incoming moisture or a weak frontal boundary could cap readings near 37–38°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because these thresholds align with ensemble spreads and historical July extremes, while probabilities drop sharply outside this window as resolution nears. Updated model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine the outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,844
Data de Término
22 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature in the upper 30s Celsius for Chengdu on July 22, 2026, amid the influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High.** This ridge typically sustains hot, subsiding air over the Sichuan Basin during peak summer, amplified by the urban heat island effect and high humidity that limits nighttime cooling. Recent model runs show modest variability, with some projecting 38–39°C under partly cloudy conditions and others allowing brief excursions toward 40–41°C if subsidence strengthens or winds remain light. Incoming moisture or a weak frontal boundary could cap readings near 37–38°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because these thresholds align with ensemble spreads and historical July extremes, while probabilities drop sharply outside this window as resolution nears. Updated model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine the outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,844
Data de Término
22 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 22 de julho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "40°C" at 39%, followed by "41°C" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 22 de julho?" has generated $33.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 22 de julho?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 22 de julho?" is "40°C" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "41°C" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 22 de julho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.