The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado140-159 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$2,953,704 Vol.
$2,953,704 Vol.
21 jul 2026
<20
Não
20-39
Não
40-59
Não
60-79
Não
80-99
Não
100-119
Não
120-139
Não
140-159
Sim
160-179
Não
180-199
Não
200-219
Não
220-239
Não
240-259
Não
260-279
Não
280-299
Não
300-319
Não
320-339
Não
340-359
Não
360-379
Não
380-399
Não
400-419
Não
420-439
Não
440-459
Não
460-479
Não
480-499
Não
500+
Não
140-159 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$2,953,704 Vol.
$2,953,704 Vol.
21 jul 2026
<20
$23,957 Vol.
Não
20-39
$27,973 Vol.
Não
40-59
$32,343 Vol.
Não
60-79
$103,018 Vol.
Não
80-99
$81,478 Vol.
Não
100-119
$161,763 Vol.
Não
120-139
$288,472 Vol.
Não
140-159
$441,805 Vol.
Sim
160-179
$276,314 Vol.
Não
180-199
$335,746 Vol.
Não
200-219
$225,806 Vol.
Não
220-239
$168,601 Vol.
Não
240-259
$126,666 Vol.
Não
260-279
$118,922 Vol.
Não
280-299
$103,744 Vol.
Não
300-319
$81,660 Vol.
Não
320-339
$53,566 Vol.
Não
340-359
$54,338 Vol.
Não
360-379
$44,176 Vol.
Não
380-399
$37,706 Vol.
Não
400-419
$44,184 Vol.
Não
420-439
$26,130 Vol.
Não
440-459
$25,267 Vol.
Não
460-479
$11,080 Vol.
Não
480-499
$14,533 Vol.
Não
500+
$44,459 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$2,953,704Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,953,704Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions