**Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk posting 40-64 times from August 6-8, reflecting his recent baseline activity of roughly 15-25 tweets per day.** Data from X analytics show weekday averages near 18-31 posts, with lighter weekend volumes, placing a typical three-day window squarely in the leading bin absent major catalysts. No SpaceX launches, earnings releases, or high-profile controversies are scheduled in this narrow period to drive elevated engagement, while his early August 6 activity (multiple replies and comments) aligns with moderate pacing rather than a surge. Higher ranges like 90+ carry low implied probability because sustained spikes historically require specific news cycles or product milestones that are not evident here. The market therefore prices in routine platform interaction without exceptional momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado40-64 49%
65-89 27%
Menos de 40 18%
90-114 7%
$45,282 Vol.
$45,282 Vol.
8 ago 2026
Menos de 40
18%
40-64
49%
65-89
27%
90-114
7%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 49%
65-89 27%
Menos de 40 18%
90-114 7%
$45,282 Vol.
$45,282 Vol.
8 ago 2026
Menos de 40
$6,621 Vol.
18%
40-64
$4,551 Vol.
49%
65-89
$3,136 Vol.
27%
90-114
$4,410 Vol.
7%
115-139
$6,411 Vol.
2%
140-164
$8,595 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$2,210 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$5,767 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$1,771 Vol.
<1%
240+
$1,931 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk posting 40-64 times from August 6-8, reflecting his recent baseline activity of roughly 15-25 tweets per day.** Data from X analytics show weekday averages near 18-31 posts, with lighter weekend volumes, placing a typical three-day window squarely in the leading bin absent major catalysts. No SpaceX launches, earnings releases, or high-profile controversies are scheduled in this narrow period to drive elevated engagement, while his early August 6 activity (multiple replies and comments) aligns with moderate pacing rather than a surge. Higher ranges like 90+ carry low implied probability because sustained spikes historically require specific news cycles or product milestones that are not evident here. The market therefore prices in routine platform interaction without exceptional momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$45,282Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk posting 40-64 times from August 6-8, reflecting his recent baseline activity of roughly 15-25 tweets per day.** Data from X analytics show weekday averages near 18-31 posts, with lighter weekend volumes, placing a typical three-day window squarely in the leading bin absent major catalysts. No SpaceX launches, earnings releases, or high-profile controversies are scheduled in this narrow period to drive elevated engagement, while his early August 6 activity (multiple replies and comments) aligns with moderate pacing rather than a surge. Higher ranges like 90+ carry low implied probability because sustained spikes historically require specific news cycles or product milestones that are not evident here. The market therefore prices in routine platform interaction without exceptional momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$45,282Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk posting 40-64 times from August 6-8, reflecting his recent baseline activity of roughly 15-25 tweets per day.** Data from X analytics show weekday averages near 18-31 posts, with lighter weekend volumes, placing a typical three-day window squarely in the leading bin absent major catalysts. No SpaceX launches, earnings releases, or high-profile controversies are scheduled in this narrow period to drive elevated engagement, while his early August 6 activity (multiple replies and comments) aligns with moderate pacing rather than a surge. Higher ranges like 90+ carry low implied probability because sustained spikes historically require specific news cycles or product milestones that are not evident here. The market therefore prices in routine platform interaction without exceptional momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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