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icon for Canção do Ano 2026 da CMA

Canção do Ano 2026 da CMA

icon for Canção do Ano 2026 da CMA

Canção do Ano 2026 da CMA

Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 74%

Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.) 14%

Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney) 5%

Be Her (Ella Langley) 5%

Polymarket
NOVO

Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 74%

Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.) 14%

Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney) 5%

Be Her (Ella Langley) 5%

Polymarket
NOVO

Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)

$2,053 Vol.

74%

Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)

$497 Vol.

14%

Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney)

$60 Vol.

5%

Be Her (Ella Langley)

$60 Vol.

5%

Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves)

$41 Vol.

4%

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year. If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands the strongest trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability, driven by its record-setting chart run—including 28 weeks at No. 1 on Hot Country Songs, a rare Hot 100 triple crown, and Billboard’s 2026 Songs of the Summer crown—plus its ACM Song and Single of the Year wins. Nominations announced September 10 placed both “Choosin’ Texas” and Langley’s follow-up “Be Her” in the five-song category alongside Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things,” Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell,” and Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary,” with Langley leading all artists with nine nods total. The November 18 CMA ceremony remains the resolution date, though the song’s sustained cultural dominance and co-writer Miranda Lambert’s industry clout continue to anchor current market positioning.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.

If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year. If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,711
Data de Término
19 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year. If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands the strongest trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability, driven by its record-setting chart run—including 28 weeks at No. 1 on Hot Country Songs, a rare Hot 100 triple crown, and Billboard’s 2026 Songs of the Summer crown—plus its ACM Song and Single of the Year wins. Nominations announced September 10 placed both “Choosin’ Texas” and Langley’s follow-up “Be Her” in the five-song category alongside Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things,” Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell,” and Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary,” with Langley leading all artists with nine nods total. The November 18 CMA ceremony remains the resolution date, though the song’s sustained cultural dominance and co-writer Miranda Lambert’s industry clout continue to anchor current market positioning.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.

If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year. If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,711
Data de Término
19 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Canção do Ano 2026 da CMA" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)" at 74%, followed by "Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Canção do Ano 2026 da CMA" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Canção do Ano 2026 da CMA," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Canção do Ano 2026 da CMA" is "Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Canção do Ano 2026 da CMA" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.