Geopolitical tensions from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have sharply curtailed Middle East crude supplies, driving substantial inventory draws and supporting WTI prices near $90–$91 per barrel in early June 2026. EIA forecasts show Brent averaging around $106/bbl through June amid 8.5 million b/d global inventory declines in Q2, though gradual resumption of shipping and modest OPEC+ production adjustments of 188,000 b/d effective this month introduce downside risks. Softer demand signals, including reduced Chinese imports, and any diplomatic progress toward reopening the strait represent key swing factors before month-end settlement, with futures curves reflecting backwardation from these supply constraints.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPetróleo bruto (CL) acima de ___ final de junho?
Petróleo bruto (CL) acima de ___ final de junho?
$134,297 Vol.
30 jun 2026
$90
52%
$85
68%
$80
82%
US$75
87%
$70
94%
US$65
96%
$63
98%
$60
98%
$56
97%
US$55
98%
$52
99%
$50
99%
$134,297 Vol.
$90
$26,549 Vol.
52%
$85
$7,089 Vol.
68%
$80
$6,036 Vol.
82%
US$75
$16,860 Vol.
87%
$70
$20,296 Vol.
94%
US$65
$877 Vol.
96%
$63
$9,105 Vol.
98%
$60
$23,495 Vol.
98%
$56
$4,950 Vol.
97%
US$55
$3,634 Vol.
98%
$52
$6,332 Vol.
99%
$50
$9,074 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have sharply curtailed Middle East crude supplies, driving substantial inventory draws and supporting WTI prices near $90–$91 per barrel in early June 2026. EIA forecasts show Brent averaging around $106/bbl through June amid 8.5 million b/d global inventory declines in Q2, though gradual resumption of shipping and modest OPEC+ production adjustments of 188,000 b/d effective this month introduce downside risks. Softer demand signals, including reduced Chinese imports, and any diplomatic progress toward reopening the strait represent key swing factors before month-end settlement, with futures curves reflecting backwardation from these supply constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$134,297Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have sharply curtailed Middle East crude supplies, driving substantial inventory draws and supporting WTI prices near $90–$91 per barrel in early June 2026. EIA forecasts show Brent averaging around $106/bbl through June amid 8.5 million b/d global inventory declines in Q2, though gradual resumption of shipping and modest OPEC+ production adjustments of 188,000 b/d effective this month introduce downside risks. Softer demand signals, including reduced Chinese imports, and any diplomatic progress toward reopening the strait represent key swing factors before month-end settlement, with futures curves reflecting backwardation from these supply constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$134,297Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have sharply curtailed Middle East crude supplies, driving substantial inventory draws and supporting WTI prices near $90–$91 per barrel in early June 2026. EIA forecasts show Brent averaging around $106/bbl through June amid 8.5 million b/d global inventory declines in Q2, though gradual resumption of shipping and modest OPEC+ production adjustments of 188,000 b/d effective this month introduce downside risks. Softer demand signals, including reduced Chinese imports, and any diplomatic progress toward reopening the strait represent key swing factors before month-end settlement, with futures curves reflecting backwardation from these supply constraints.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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