Aziz Akhannouch’s position as Morocco’s prime minister faces near-certain change before the end of 2026 due to the scheduled September 23 parliamentary elections and his January–February 2026 decision to step down as leader of the ruling National Rally of Independents (RNI). He was succeeded as party president by Mohamed Chaouki, removing him from contention to head any post-election government regardless of RNI performance. In Morocco’s system, the prime minister is drawn from the party or coalition securing a parliamentary majority, with the king formally appointing the head of government. Traders assign a 92.3% implied probability to Akhannouch leaving office by December 31 because the election date is fixed and the new cabinet formation timeline leaves little scope for his retention. Earlier public protests over economic conditions and declining approval ratings added pressure but were secondary to these structural factors. No official statements or procedural developments have altered this trajectory since the party leadership transition.