China’s July CPI print of 0.5% year-over-year, the lowest in six months and below forecasts, reflected ongoing food deflation, soft domestic demand, and easing energy prices, establishing a low base for the August reading due from the National Bureau of Statistics around September 9. Weak manufacturing PMI data and persistent property-sector drag have reinforced trader expectations that annual inflation will remain contained near recent levels. The 0.7%-0.8% outcome leads market pricing as the most probable range consistent with these trends and modest policy support signals, while the 0.5%-0.6% bin captures downside risks from continued food and rent pressures; higher bins price in limited upside from commodity rebounds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado0.7% - 0.8% 44%
0.5% - 0.6% 32%
0.9%+ 16.1%
0.3% - 0.4% 10.5%
$27,368 Vol.
$27,368 Vol.
9 set 2026
≤0.2%
10%
0.3% - 0.4%
10%
0.5% - 0.6%
32%
0.7% - 0.8%
44%
0.9%+
16%
0.7% - 0.8% 44%
0.5% - 0.6% 32%
0.9%+ 16.1%
0.3% - 0.4% 10.5%
$27,368 Vol.
$27,368 Vol.
9 set 2026
≤0.2%
$980 Vol.
10%
0.3% - 0.4%
$1,604 Vol.
10%
0.5% - 0.6%
$10,299 Vol.
32%
0.7% - 0.8%
$11,571 Vol.
44%
0.9%+
$2,914 Vol.
16%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s July CPI print of 0.5% year-over-year, the lowest in six months and below forecasts, reflected ongoing food deflation, soft domestic demand, and easing energy prices, establishing a low base for the August reading due from the National Bureau of Statistics around September 9. Weak manufacturing PMI data and persistent property-sector drag have reinforced trader expectations that annual inflation will remain contained near recent levels. The 0.7%-0.8% outcome leads market pricing as the most probable range consistent with these trends and modest policy support signals, while the 0.5%-0.6% bin captures downside risks from continued food and rent pressures; higher bins price in limited upside from commodity rebounds.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Volume
$27,368Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s July CPI print of 0.5% year-over-year, the lowest in six months and below forecasts, reflected ongoing food deflation, soft domestic demand, and easing energy prices, establishing a low base for the August reading due from the National Bureau of Statistics around September 9. Weak manufacturing PMI data and persistent property-sector drag have reinforced trader expectations that annual inflation will remain contained near recent levels. The 0.7%-0.8% outcome leads market pricing as the most probable range consistent with these trends and modest policy support signals, while the 0.5%-0.6% bin captures downside risks from continued food and rent pressures; higher bins price in limited upside from commodity rebounds.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$27,368Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...China’s July CPI print of 0.5% year-over-year, the lowest in six months and below forecasts, reflected ongoing food deflation, soft domestic demand, and easing energy prices, establishing a low base for the August reading due from the National Bureau of Statistics around September 9. Weak manufacturing PMI data and persistent property-sector drag have reinforced trader expectations that annual inflation will remain contained near recent levels. The 0.7%-0.8% outcome leads market pricing as the most probable range consistent with these trends and modest policy support signals, while the 0.5%-0.6% bin captures downside risks from continued food and rent pressures; higher bins price in limited upside from commodity rebounds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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