**Argentina's official USD/ARS rate trades near 1,490 as of mid-August 2026 amid a managed crawling band linked to recent inflation prints.** Persistent annual inflation near 33.8% (July) and monthly rates around 2% continue to pressure the peso, supporting the 63.5% market-implied probability of a close above 1,600 by year-end. President Milei's administration has eased capital controls and tied band adjustments to lagged CPI while prioritizing reserve accumulation, yet the currency has depreciated steadily as the central bank balances disinflation goals against external debt needs. Forecasts from institutions such as MUFG and BBVA cluster in the 1,760–1,800 range for December 2026, aligning with trader pricing that embeds ongoing nominal depreciation rather than rapid real appreciation. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and any further band widening that could influence the pace of weakening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado1600,00+ 59%
1500,00–1549,99 15.0%
1550,00–1599,99 10.5%
1450,00–1499,99 6.7%
NOVO
NOVO
30 dez 2026
<1250,00
3%
1250,00–1299,99
<1%
1300,00–1349,99
<1%
1350,00–1399,99
<1%
1400,00–1449,99
4%
1450,00–1499,99
11%
1500,00–1549,99
15%
1550,00–1599,99
11%
1600,00+
63%
1600,00+ 59%
1500,00–1549,99 15.0%
1550,00–1599,99 10.5%
1450,00–1499,99 6.7%
NOVO
NOVO
30 dez 2026
<1250,00
$536 Vol.
3%
1250,00–1299,99
$790 Vol.
<1%
1300,00–1349,99
$677 Vol.
<1%
1350,00–1399,99
$736 Vol.
<1%
1400,00–1449,99
$1,239 Vol.
4%
1450,00–1499,99
$1,264 Vol.
11%
1500,00–1549,99
$1,223 Vol.
15%
1550,00–1599,99
$694 Vol.
11%
1600,00+
$1,902 Vol.
63%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Argentina's official USD/ARS rate trades near 1,490 as of mid-August 2026 amid a managed crawling band linked to recent inflation prints.** Persistent annual inflation near 33.8% (July) and monthly rates around 2% continue to pressure the peso, supporting the 63.5% market-implied probability of a close above 1,600 by year-end. President Milei's administration has eased capital controls and tied band adjustments to lagged CPI while prioritizing reserve accumulation, yet the currency has depreciated steadily as the central bank balances disinflation goals against external debt needs. Forecasts from institutions such as MUFG and BBVA cluster in the 1,760–1,800 range for December 2026, aligning with trader pricing that embeds ongoing nominal depreciation rather than rapid real appreciation. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and any further band widening that could influence the pace of weakening.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Volume
$9,062Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Argentina's official USD/ARS rate trades near 1,490 as of mid-August 2026 amid a managed crawling band linked to recent inflation prints.** Persistent annual inflation near 33.8% (July) and monthly rates around 2% continue to pressure the peso, supporting the 63.5% market-implied probability of a close above 1,600 by year-end. President Milei's administration has eased capital controls and tied band adjustments to lagged CPI while prioritizing reserve accumulation, yet the currency has depreciated steadily as the central bank balances disinflation goals against external debt needs. Forecasts from institutions such as MUFG and BBVA cluster in the 1,760–1,800 range for December 2026, aligning with trader pricing that embeds ongoing nominal depreciation rather than rapid real appreciation. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and any further band widening that could influence the pace of weakening.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$9,062Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Argentina's official USD/ARS rate trades near 1,490 as of mid-August 2026 amid a managed crawling band linked to recent inflation prints.** Persistent annual inflation near 33.8% (July) and monthly rates around 2% continue to pressure the peso, supporting the 63.5% market-implied probability of a close above 1,600 by year-end. President Milei's administration has eased capital controls and tied band adjustments to lagged CPI while prioritizing reserve accumulation, yet the currency has depreciated steadily as the central bank balances disinflation goals against external debt needs. Forecasts from institutions such as MUFG and BBVA cluster in the 1,760–1,800 range for December 2026, aligning with trader pricing that embeds ongoing nominal depreciation rather than rapid real appreciation. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and any further band widening that could influence the pace of weakening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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