Redistricting has fundamentally altered Utah’s 1st congressional district by centering it on Salt Lake County and shifting its partisan composition sharply leftward, with Kamala Harris carrying the new lines by 24 points in 2024. The seat became open after incumbent Republican Blake Moore relocated to the 2nd district, clearing the path for Democratic nominee Ben McAdams—a former U.S. representative—to face Republican Riley Owen in November. Primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced the Democratic advantage, producing the current trader consensus reflected in elevated Democratic probabilities. While the race remains formally open until Election Day, only major late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts would realistically alter the outcome in the remaining months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUT-01 House Election Winner
UT-01 House Election Winner
$36,350 Wol.
$36,350 Wol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$36,350 Wol.
$36,350 Wol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,217 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$31,134 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has fundamentally altered Utah’s 1st congressional district by centering it on Salt Lake County and shifting its partisan composition sharply leftward, with Kamala Harris carrying the new lines by 24 points in 2024. The seat became open after incumbent Republican Blake Moore relocated to the 2nd district, clearing the path for Democratic nominee Ben McAdams—a former U.S. representative—to face Republican Riley Owen in November. Primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced the Democratic advantage, producing the current trader consensus reflected in elevated Democratic probabilities. While the race remains formally open until Election Day, only major late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts would realistically alter the outcome in the remaining months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$36,350Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has fundamentally altered Utah’s 1st congressional district by centering it on Salt Lake County and shifting its partisan composition sharply leftward, with Kamala Harris carrying the new lines by 24 points in 2024. The seat became open after incumbent Republican Blake Moore relocated to the 2nd district, clearing the path for Democratic nominee Ben McAdams—a former U.S. representative—to face Republican Riley Owen in November. Primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced the Democratic advantage, producing the current trader consensus reflected in elevated Democratic probabilities. While the race remains formally open until Election Day, only major late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts would realistically alter the outcome in the remaining months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$36,350Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has fundamentally altered Utah’s 1st congressional district by centering it on Salt Lake County and shifting its partisan composition sharply leftward, with Kamala Harris carrying the new lines by 24 points in 2024. The seat became open after incumbent Republican Blake Moore relocated to the 2nd district, clearing the path for Democratic nominee Ben McAdams—a former U.S. representative—to face Republican Riley Owen in November. Primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced the Democratic advantage, producing the current trader consensus reflected in elevated Democratic probabilities. While the race remains formally open until Election Day, only major late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts would realistically alter the outcome in the remaining months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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