Recent S&P 500 earnings momentum, driven by technology and AI-related profit growth exceeding 30% year-over-year in Q2, underpins index levels near 7,719 as of September 4, 2026, with the benchmark up roughly 19% over the prior year. Persistent core inflation near 3% has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at a 3.50-3.75% funds rate target, tempering rate-cut expectations and supporting valuations amid resilient labor data. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, pricing in continued earnings expansion offset by policy caution. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 CPI release and the September 16 FOMC decision, which could shift implied probabilities around year-end thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$339,529 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
3%
↑ $9,000
4%
↑ $8,600
10%
↑ $8,200
32%
↑ $8,000
60%
↓ $7,400
68%
↓ $7,200
73%
↓ $7,000
35%
↓ $6,200
15%
↓ $6,000
16%
↓ $5,800
9%
↓ $5,200
7%
↓ $4,500
4%
$339,529 Wol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Wol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,538 Wol.
3%
↑ $9,000
$78 Wol.
4%
↑ $8,600
$30,614 Wol.
10%
↑ $8,200
$23,783 Wol.
32%
↑ $8,000
$559 Wol.
60%
↓ $7,400
$0 Wol.
68%
↓ $7,200
$0 Wol.
73%
↓ $7,000
$343 Wol.
35%
↓ $6,200
$52,853 Wol.
15%
↓ $6,000
$2,957 Wol.
16%
↓ $5,800
$41,770 Wol.
9%
↓ $5,200
$56,898 Wol.
7%
↓ $4,500
$59,984 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent S&P 500 earnings momentum, driven by technology and AI-related profit growth exceeding 30% year-over-year in Q2, underpins index levels near 7,719 as of September 4, 2026, with the benchmark up roughly 19% over the prior year. Persistent core inflation near 3% has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at a 3.50-3.75% funds rate target, tempering rate-cut expectations and supporting valuations amid resilient labor data. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, pricing in continued earnings expansion offset by policy caution. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 CPI release and the September 16 FOMC decision, which could shift implied probabilities around year-end thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$339,529Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent S&P 500 earnings momentum, driven by technology and AI-related profit growth exceeding 30% year-over-year in Q2, underpins index levels near 7,719 as of September 4, 2026, with the benchmark up roughly 19% over the prior year. Persistent core inflation near 3% has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at a 3.50-3.75% funds rate target, tempering rate-cut expectations and supporting valuations amid resilient labor data. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, pricing in continued earnings expansion offset by policy caution. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 CPI release and the September 16 FOMC decision, which could shift implied probabilities around year-end thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Wolumen
$339,529Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Recent S&P 500 earnings momentum, driven by technology and AI-related profit growth exceeding 30% year-over-year in Q2, underpins index levels near 7,719 as of September 4, 2026, with the benchmark up roughly 19% over the prior year. Persistent core inflation near 3% has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at a 3.50-3.75% funds rate target, tempering rate-cut expectations and supporting valuations amid resilient labor data. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, pricing in continued earnings expansion offset by policy caution. Key near-term catalysts include the September 11 CPI release and the September 16 FOMC decision, which could shift implied probabilities around year-end thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania