Persistent inflation, recently climbing to 4.2% year-over-year in May amid energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market featuring steady 4.3-4.4% unemployment and solid payroll gains, has anchored Federal Reserve policy expectations. Traders now price in rates holding near 3.50-3.75% through year-end, with the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent data releases as near-term focal points. Elevated valuations above historical averages are offset by projected double-digit S&P 500 earnings growth driven by AI-related capital spending, though higher Treasury yields and input costs pose downside risks to the index's path toward common analyst targets clustered around 7,600 by December.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$169,208 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $9,300
6%
↑ $8,600
16%
↑ $8,200
18%
↑ $7,800
62%
↓ $6,200
33%
↓ $5,800
26%
↓ $5,200
16%
↓ $4,500
11%
$169,208 Wol.
↑ $9,300
$3,380 Wol.
6%
↑ $8,600
$13,043 Wol.
16%
↑ $8,200
$5,135 Wol.
18%
↑ $7,800
$4,239 Wol.
62%
↓ $6,200
$24,370 Wol.
33%
↓ $5,800
$20,782 Wol.
26%
↓ $5,200
$23,894 Wol.
16%
↓ $4,500
$23,671 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Persistent inflation, recently climbing to 4.2% year-over-year in May amid energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market featuring steady 4.3-4.4% unemployment and solid payroll gains, has anchored Federal Reserve policy expectations. Traders now price in rates holding near 3.50-3.75% through year-end, with the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent data releases as near-term focal points. Elevated valuations above historical averages are offset by projected double-digit S&P 500 earnings growth driven by AI-related capital spending, though higher Treasury yields and input costs pose downside risks to the index's path toward common analyst targets clustered around 7,600 by December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$169,208Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Persistent inflation, recently climbing to 4.2% year-over-year in May amid energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market featuring steady 4.3-4.4% unemployment and solid payroll gains, has anchored Federal Reserve policy expectations. Traders now price in rates holding near 3.50-3.75% through year-end, with the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent data releases as near-term focal points. Elevated valuations above historical averages are offset by projected double-digit S&P 500 earnings growth driven by AI-related capital spending, though higher Treasury yields and input costs pose downside risks to the index's path toward common analyst targets clustered around 7,600 by December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Wolumen
$169,208Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation, recently climbing to 4.2% year-over-year in May amid energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market featuring steady 4.3-4.4% unemployment and solid payroll gains, has anchored Federal Reserve policy expectations. Traders now price in rates holding near 3.50-3.75% through year-end, with the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent data releases as near-term focal points. Elevated valuations above historical averages are offset by projected double-digit S&P 500 earnings growth driven by AI-related capital spending, though higher Treasury yields and input costs pose downside risks to the index's path toward common analyst targets clustered around 7,600 by December.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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