Republican incumbent Mike Kelly holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 88% Republican consensus on prediction markets versus 10.5% for the Democratic nominee. Kelly advanced through the May primary and benefits from incumbency, established fundraising, and the district's underlying partisan lean, which has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. Challenger Justin Wagner faces structural headwinds typical of contesting a seat without recent Democratic control. No major polling shifts, endorsements, or external events have altered the trajectory in the past month, keeping trader assessments aligned with historical patterns for similar districts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPA-16 House Election Winner
PA-16 House Election Winner
$32,821 Wol.
$32,821 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
$32,821 Wol.
$32,821 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$20,705 Wol.
88%
Democratic Party
$12,116 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Kelly holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 88% Republican consensus on prediction markets versus 10.5% for the Democratic nominee. Kelly advanced through the May primary and benefits from incumbency, established fundraising, and the district's underlying partisan lean, which has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. Challenger Justin Wagner faces structural headwinds typical of contesting a seat without recent Democratic control. No major polling shifts, endorsements, or external events have altered the trajectory in the past month, keeping trader assessments aligned with historical patterns for similar districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,821Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Kelly holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 88% Republican consensus on prediction markets versus 10.5% for the Democratic nominee. Kelly advanced through the May primary and benefits from incumbency, established fundraising, and the district's underlying partisan lean, which has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. Challenger Justin Wagner faces structural headwinds typical of contesting a seat without recent Democratic control. No major polling shifts, endorsements, or external events have altered the trajectory in the past month, keeping trader assessments aligned with historical patterns for similar districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$32,821Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Kelly holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 88% Republican consensus on prediction markets versus 10.5% for the Democratic nominee. Kelly advanced through the May primary and benefits from incumbency, established fundraising, and the district's underlying partisan lean, which has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. Challenger Justin Wagner faces structural headwinds typical of contesting a seat without recent Democratic control. No major polling shifts, endorsements, or external events have altered the trajectory in the past month, keeping trader assessments aligned with historical patterns for similar districts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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