Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination with roughly 80 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, facing only token opposition. The North Shore Nassau County district has shown a consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, reinforced by Suozzi's moderate profile and prior service. Traders have priced the Democratic nominee as a heavy favorite at 92.5 percent, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and local voting patterns ahead of the November 3 general election. A Republican victory would likely require an unusually strong national tailwind or an unforeseen campaign disruption to overcome the current consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-03 House Election Winner
NY-03 House Election Winner
$24,550 Wol.
$24,550 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
9%
$24,550 Wol.
$24,550 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,367 Wol.
93%
Republican Party
$13,183 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination with roughly 80 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, facing only token opposition. The North Shore Nassau County district has shown a consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, reinforced by Suozzi's moderate profile and prior service. Traders have priced the Democratic nominee as a heavy favorite at 92.5 percent, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and local voting patterns ahead of the November 3 general election. A Republican victory would likely require an unusually strong national tailwind or an unforeseen campaign disruption to overcome the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$24,550Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination with roughly 80 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, facing only token opposition. The North Shore Nassau County district has shown a consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, reinforced by Suozzi's moderate profile and prior service. Traders have priced the Democratic nominee as a heavy favorite at 92.5 percent, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and local voting patterns ahead of the November 3 general election. A Republican victory would likely require an unusually strong national tailwind or an unforeseen campaign disruption to overcome the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$24,550Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination with roughly 80 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, facing only token opposition. The North Shore Nassau County district has shown a consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, reinforced by Suozzi's moderate profile and prior service. Traders have priced the Democratic nominee as a heavy favorite at 92.5 percent, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and local voting patterns ahead of the November 3 general election. A Republican victory would likely require an unusually strong national tailwind or an unforeseen campaign disruption to overcome the current consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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