Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s R+6 partisan voting index, combined with the South Shore Long Island district’s rightward shift in recent presidential cycles and Garbarino’s 59.8% win in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 2026 primaries were canceled, leaving limited new polling or fundraising data to alter positioning. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting incumbency advantages, district composition, and the absence of competitive developments that might boost Democratic prospects in the remaining campaign period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-02 House Election Winner
NY-02 House Election Winner
$17,563 Wol.
$17,563 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
$17,563 Wol.
$17,563 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,102 Wol.
87%
Democratic Party
$10,461 Wol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s R+6 partisan voting index, combined with the South Shore Long Island district’s rightward shift in recent presidential cycles and Garbarino’s 59.8% win in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 2026 primaries were canceled, leaving limited new polling or fundraising data to alter positioning. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting incumbency advantages, district composition, and the absence of competitive developments that might boost Democratic prospects in the remaining campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,563Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s R+6 partisan voting index, combined with the South Shore Long Island district’s rightward shift in recent presidential cycles and Garbarino’s 59.8% win in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 2026 primaries were canceled, leaving limited new polling or fundraising data to alter positioning. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting incumbency advantages, district composition, and the absence of competitive developments that might boost Democratic prospects in the remaining campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$17,563Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s R+6 partisan voting index, combined with the South Shore Long Island district’s rightward shift in recent presidential cycles and Garbarino’s 59.8% win in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 2026 primaries were canceled, leaving limited new polling or fundraising data to alter positioning. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting incumbency advantages, district composition, and the absence of competitive developments that might boost Democratic prospects in the remaining campaign period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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