Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves, with nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying the race as Solid or Safe Republican. The district’s partisan voting index favors the GOP by double digits, consistent with large margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. A crowded Republican primary on August 4, 2026, among candidates including Chris Stigall, Jim Ingram, and Nathan Willett is expected to produce a nominee who will enter the November general election with strong structural advantages over the eventual Democratic primary winner from a smaller field. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though an unusually weak Republican nominee, a national political shift, or late-cycle developments could narrow the margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMO-06 House Election Winner
$30,895 Wol.
$30,895 Wol.
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$30,895 Wol.
$30,895 Wol.
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves, with nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying the race as Solid or Safe Republican. The district’s partisan voting index favors the GOP by double digits, consistent with large margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. A crowded Republican primary on August 4, 2026, among candidates including Chris Stigall, Jim Ingram, and Nathan Willett is expected to produce a nominee who will enter the November general election with strong structural advantages over the eventual Democratic primary winner from a smaller field. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though an unusually weak Republican nominee, a national political shift, or late-cycle developments could narrow the margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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