Democratic nominees hold consistent polling leads in both the open Senate and gubernatorial races following the August 4 primaries, with Abdul El-Sayed edging Mike Rogers by 2–5 points in recent surveys and Jocelyn Benson ahead of John James by 5–8 points on average. These advantages in a state that narrowly favored Republicans in the 2024 presidential election have shaped trader consensus around a Democratic sweep as the most probable combined outcome. The Senate contest remains a toss-up in most ratings, while the governor race leans Democratic, limiting Republican sweep probabilities. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals in the past month, though individual race volatility could still shift split-ticket scenarios before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDems sweep 65%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 30%
Reps sweep 7%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 1.1%
$10,933 Wol.
$10,933 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
65%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
30%
Reps sweep
7%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
1%
Dems sweep 65%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 30%
Reps sweep 7%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 1.1%
$10,933 Wol.
$10,933 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$4,689 Wol.
65%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$1,223 Wol.
30%
Reps sweep
$4,197 Wol.
7%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$824 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Democratic nominees hold consistent polling leads in both the open Senate and gubernatorial races following the August 4 primaries, with Abdul El-Sayed edging Mike Rogers by 2–5 points in recent surveys and Jocelyn Benson ahead of John James by 5–8 points on average. These advantages in a state that narrowly favored Republicans in the 2024 presidential election have shaped trader consensus around a Democratic sweep as the most probable combined outcome. The Senate contest remains a toss-up in most ratings, while the governor race leans Democratic, limiting Republican sweep probabilities. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals in the past month, though individual race volatility could still shift split-ticket scenarios before November.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,933Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Democratic nominees hold consistent polling leads in both the open Senate and gubernatorial races following the August 4 primaries, with Abdul El-Sayed edging Mike Rogers by 2–5 points in recent surveys and Jocelyn Benson ahead of John James by 5–8 points on average. These advantages in a state that narrowly favored Republicans in the 2024 presidential election have shaped trader consensus around a Democratic sweep as the most probable combined outcome. The Senate contest remains a toss-up in most ratings, while the governor race leans Democratic, limiting Republican sweep probabilities. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals in the past month, though individual race volatility could still shift split-ticket scenarios before November.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$10,933Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Democratic nominees hold consistent polling leads in both the open Senate and gubernatorial races following the August 4 primaries, with Abdul El-Sayed edging Mike Rogers by 2–5 points in recent surveys and Jocelyn Benson ahead of John James by 5–8 points on average. These advantages in a state that narrowly favored Republicans in the 2024 presidential election have shaped trader consensus around a Democratic sweep as the most probable combined outcome. The Senate contest remains a toss-up in most ratings, while the governor race leans Democratic, limiting Republican sweep probabilities. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals in the past month, though individual race volatility could still shift split-ticket scenarios before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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