**Current forecasts position the minimum temperature in Wellington on September 5, 2026, near 10–11°C, aligning with the market's strong preference for those outcomes.** Official and model guidance from sources such as the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no show daytime highs around 13–14°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with moderate northwesterly winds, followed by overnight lows of approximately 10–12°C. These conditions reflect typical early-spring patterns in the region, where southerly or calm flows can allow radiational cooling but persistent cloud cover and wind limit sharp drops. Recent observational data, including an afternoon reading near 14°C at Wellington International Airport, support a stable thermal profile without strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push minima lower. Model consensus emphasizes this moderation, keeping probabilities for 7°C or below negligible while concentrating implied odds on the narrow 10–11°C band. As the day progresses, any updated model runs or official MetService briefings on overnight trends will be the key variables that could refine trader positioning before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
10°C 30%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
30%
11°C
72%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
10°C 30%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
7°C or below
$67 Wol.
1%
8°C
$76 Wol.
1%
9°C
$67 Wol.
1%
10°C
$46 Wol.
30%
11°C
$390 Wol.
72%
12°C
$1,793 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$3,206 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$45 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$1,055 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$1,055 Wol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$1,045 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position the minimum temperature in Wellington on September 5, 2026, near 10–11°C, aligning with the market's strong preference for those outcomes.** Official and model guidance from sources such as the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no show daytime highs around 13–14°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with moderate northwesterly winds, followed by overnight lows of approximately 10–12°C. These conditions reflect typical early-spring patterns in the region, where southerly or calm flows can allow radiational cooling but persistent cloud cover and wind limit sharp drops.
Recent observational data, including an afternoon reading near 14°C at Wellington International Airport, support a stable thermal profile without strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push minima lower. Model consensus emphasizes this moderation, keeping probabilities for 7°C or below negligible while concentrating implied odds on the narrow 10–11°C band. As the day progresses, any updated model runs or official MetService briefings on overnight trends will be the key variables that could refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,845Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position the minimum temperature in Wellington on September 5, 2026, near 10–11°C, aligning with the market's strong preference for those outcomes.** Official and model guidance from sources such as the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no show daytime highs around 13–14°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with moderate northwesterly winds, followed by overnight lows of approximately 10–12°C. These conditions reflect typical early-spring patterns in the region, where southerly or calm flows can allow radiational cooling but persistent cloud cover and wind limit sharp drops.
Recent observational data, including an afternoon reading near 14°C at Wellington International Airport, support a stable thermal profile without strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push minima lower. Model consensus emphasizes this moderation, keeping probabilities for 7°C or below negligible while concentrating implied odds on the narrow 10–11°C band. As the day progresses, any updated model runs or official MetService briefings on overnight trends will be the key variables that could refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,845Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts position the minimum temperature in Wellington on September 5, 2026, near 10–11°C, aligning with the market's strong preference for those outcomes.** Official and model guidance from sources such as the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no show daytime highs around 13–14°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with moderate northwesterly winds, followed by overnight lows of approximately 10–12°C. These conditions reflect typical early-spring patterns in the region, where southerly or calm flows can allow radiational cooling but persistent cloud cover and wind limit sharp drops. Recent observational data, including an afternoon reading near 14°C at Wellington International Airport, support a stable thermal profile without strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push minima lower. Model consensus emphasizes this moderation, keeping probabilities for 7°C or below negligible while concentrating implied odds on the narrow 10–11°C band. As the day progresses, any updated model runs or official MetService briefings on overnight trends will be the key variables that could refine trader positioning before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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