Lee Jae-myung's position as South Korean president, secured through the 2025 snap election, rests on Democratic Party legislative strength that makes an impeachment motion unlikely to advance in the National Assembly. No major constitutional crises, corruption probes, or opposition-led votes have materialized in recent months to trigger the required two-thirds threshold or subsequent Constitutional Court review. Traders price the 95% probability of no impeachment before 2027 around this institutional stability and the absence of rapid political shifts that historically precede such proceedings in Korea. Scheduled legislative sessions through late 2026 show no imminent procedural catalysts, reinforcing the consensus reflected in current market pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
$18,966 Wol.
$18,966 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$18,966 Wol.
$18,966 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Lee Jae-myung's position as South Korean president, secured through the 2025 snap election, rests on Democratic Party legislative strength that makes an impeachment motion unlikely to advance in the National Assembly. No major constitutional crises, corruption probes, or opposition-led votes have materialized in recent months to trigger the required two-thirds threshold or subsequent Constitutional Court review. Traders price the 95% probability of no impeachment before 2027 around this institutional stability and the absence of rapid political shifts that historically precede such proceedings in Korea. Scheduled legislative sessions through late 2026 show no imminent procedural catalysts, reinforcing the consensus reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$18,966Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Lee Jae-myung's position as South Korean president, secured through the 2025 snap election, rests on Democratic Party legislative strength that makes an impeachment motion unlikely to advance in the National Assembly. No major constitutional crises, corruption probes, or opposition-led votes have materialized in recent months to trigger the required two-thirds threshold or subsequent Constitutional Court review. Traders price the 95% probability of no impeachment before 2027 around this institutional stability and the absence of rapid political shifts that historically precede such proceedings in Korea. Scheduled legislative sessions through late 2026 show no imminent procedural catalysts, reinforcing the consensus reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Wolumen
$18,966Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Lee Jae-myung's position as South Korean president, secured through the 2025 snap election, rests on Democratic Party legislative strength that makes an impeachment motion unlikely to advance in the National Assembly. No major constitutional crises, corruption probes, or opposition-led votes have materialized in recent months to trigger the required two-thirds threshold or subsequent Constitutional Court review. Traders price the 95% probability of no impeachment before 2027 around this institutional stability and the absence of rapid political shifts that historically precede such proceedings in Korea. Scheduled legislative sessions through late 2026 show no imminent procedural catalysts, reinforcing the consensus reflected in current market pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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