SpaceX has sustained an aggressive Falcon 9 cadence through mid-August 2026, reaching roughly 99 launches with frequent dual-coast operations and booster reuse enabling intervals as short as 38 minutes between missions. Starship test flights continue toward initial orbital Starlink V3 deployments later in the year, while FAA licensing supports up to 25 annual Starship launches subject to environmental and range approvals. Sustained rates near one Falcon mission every 2–3 days, combined with vehicle turnaround reliability and minimal weather or regulatory disruptions, underpin trader consensus around 140–179 total launches, with upside hinging on Starship scaling and downside limited by production or pad constraints through year-end.