The Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding features a crowded field ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader prices clustering tightly around 50% for most named contenders and slightly lower for Maude Brossard-Sabourin and several others. The incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Alexandre Leduc faces Parti Québécois candidate Maude Brossard-Sabourin, Liberal Janny Gaspard, CAQ's Béatrice Hodonou, and Conservative Elena Penta, plus additional independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate announcements, the late-August writ drop, and the riding's history of strong left-leaning support in east Montreal have kept probabilities compressed as traders weigh local turnout patterns, vote splitting among progressive options, and broader provincial momentum shifts. Developments such as party leader visits, affordability-focused campaign messaging, or late polling swings in the Montreal region could quickly widen gaps before nomination deadlines close on September 17.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Maude Brossard-Sabourin 98%
Béatrice Hodonou 43%
Alexandre Leduc 43%
Janny Gaspard 43%

Maude Brossard-Sabourin
98%

Béatrice Hodonou
43%

Alexandre Leduc
43%

Janny Gaspard
43%

Elena Penta
43%
Maude Brossard-Sabourin 98%
Béatrice Hodonou 43%
Alexandre Leduc 43%
Janny Gaspard 43%

Maude Brossard-Sabourin
98%

Béatrice Hodonou
43%

Alexandre Leduc
43%

Janny Gaspard
43%

Elena Penta
43%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding features a crowded field ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader prices clustering tightly around 50% for most named contenders and slightly lower for Maude Brossard-Sabourin and several others. The incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Alexandre Leduc faces Parti Québécois candidate Maude Brossard-Sabourin, Liberal Janny Gaspard, CAQ's Béatrice Hodonou, and Conservative Elena Penta, plus additional independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate announcements, the late-August writ drop, and the riding's history of strong left-leaning support in east Montreal have kept probabilities compressed as traders weigh local turnout patterns, vote splitting among progressive options, and broader provincial momentum shifts. Developments such as party leader visits, affordability-focused campaign messaging, or late polling swings in the Montreal region could quickly widen gaps before nomination deadlines close on September 17.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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