Current forecast models from agencies including Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles point to a daily maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 5, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, seasonal rainy-season cloud cover, and light winds that limit afternoon heating. Historical September highs average near 23–25°C, with recent model runs showing modest warming potential if breaks in cloud cover allow more insolation, yet precipitation chances of 40–70% could cap peaks below 27°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for exactly 26°C and 27% for 25°C aligns with this narrow range of official guidance, while lower outcomes remain discounted given minimal overnight cooling and the absence of strong cold-air intrusions. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 5?
26°C 47%
25°C 28%
27°C or higher 24%
24°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
28%
26°C
47%
27°C or higher
24%
26°C 47%
25°C 28%
27°C or higher 24%
24°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
17°C or below
$300 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$130 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$140 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$140 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$433 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$350 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$168 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$860 Wol.
4%
25°C
$2,671 Wol.
28%
26°C
$1,600 Wol.
47%
27°C or higher
$1,931 Wol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles point to a daily maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 5, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, seasonal rainy-season cloud cover, and light winds that limit afternoon heating. Historical September highs average near 23–25°C, with recent model runs showing modest warming potential if breaks in cloud cover allow more insolation, yet precipitation chances of 40–70% could cap peaks below 27°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for exactly 26°C and 27% for 25°C aligns with this narrow range of official guidance, while lower outcomes remain discounted given minimal overnight cooling and the absence of strong cold-air intrusions. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,723Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles point to a daily maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 5, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, seasonal rainy-season cloud cover, and light winds that limit afternoon heating. Historical September highs average near 23–25°C, with recent model runs showing modest warming potential if breaks in cloud cover allow more insolation, yet precipitation chances of 40–70% could cap peaks below 27°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for exactly 26°C and 27% for 25°C aligns with this narrow range of official guidance, while lower outcomes remain discounted given minimal overnight cooling and the absence of strong cold-air intrusions. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,723Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles point to a daily maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 5, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, seasonal rainy-season cloud cover, and light winds that limit afternoon heating. Historical September highs average near 23–25°C, with recent model runs showing modest warming potential if breaks in cloud cover allow more insolation, yet precipitation chances of 40–70% could cap peaks below 27°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for exactly 26°C and 27% for 25°C aligns with this narrow range of official guidance, while lower outcomes remain discounted given minimal overnight cooling and the absence of strong cold-air intrusions. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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