Traders favor a 28°C high for Mexico City on July 24 at 36.5% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 27°C, reflecting model consensus around 26–28°C amid the summer rainy season. High-elevation conditions at roughly 2,240 meters and typical July climatology keep daytime maxima moderate, with morning insolation driving peaks before afternoon convection and showers develop. Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models show limited variability, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes rather than allow spikes above 29°C or drops below 27°C. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud timing, humidity levels, and steering patterns that influence how much solar heating occurs before storms initiate, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 24?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 24?
28°C 43%
27°C 29%
29°C 17%
30°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 24, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
29%
28°C
43%
29°C
17%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 43%
27°C 29%
29°C 17%
30°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 24, 2026
24°C or below
$125 Wol.
1%
25°C
$121 Wol.
1%
26°C
$121 Wol.
5%
27°C
$756 Wol.
29%
28°C
$162 Wol.
43%
29°C
$309 Wol.
17%
30°C
$230 Wol.
7%
31°C
$126 Wol.
2%
32°C
$198 Wol.
1%
33°C
$315 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$227 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders favor a 28°C high for Mexico City on July 24 at 36.5% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 27°C, reflecting model consensus around 26–28°C amid the summer rainy season. High-elevation conditions at roughly 2,240 meters and typical July climatology keep daytime maxima moderate, with morning insolation driving peaks before afternoon convection and showers develop. Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models show limited variability, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes rather than allow spikes above 29°C or drops below 27°C. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud timing, humidity levels, and steering patterns that influence how much solar heating occurs before storms initiate, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,690Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders favor a 28°C high for Mexico City on July 24 at 36.5% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 27°C, reflecting model consensus around 26–28°C amid the summer rainy season. High-elevation conditions at roughly 2,240 meters and typical July climatology keep daytime maxima moderate, with morning insolation driving peaks before afternoon convection and showers develop. Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models show limited variability, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes rather than allow spikes above 29°C or drops below 27°C. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud timing, humidity levels, and steering patterns that influence how much solar heating occurs before storms initiate, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,690Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders favor a 28°C high for Mexico City on July 24 at 36.5% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 27°C, reflecting model consensus around 26–28°C amid the summer rainy season. High-elevation conditions at roughly 2,240 meters and typical July climatology keep daytime maxima moderate, with morning insolation driving peaks before afternoon convection and showers develop. Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models show limited variability, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes rather than allow spikes above 29°C or drops below 27°C. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud timing, humidity levels, and steering patterns that influence how much solar heating occurs before storms initiate, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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