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Wybory·Wybory We Francji

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Wybory·Wybory We Francji

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$64,746 Wol.

Apr 22, 2027
Polymarket

$64,746 Wol.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$1,418 Wol.

61%

Jordan Bardella

$4,893 Wol.

8%

Michel Barnier

$228 Wol.

12%

Valérie Pécresse

$511 Wol.

5%

Élisabeth Borne

$320 Wol.

14%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$587 Wol.

3%

Jean Castex

$671 Wol.

5%

Gérald Darmanin

$863 Wol.

3%

Sébastien Lecornu

$2,054 Wol.

18%

François Bayrou

$553 Wol.

5%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$547 Wol.

45%

Carole Delga

$184 Wol.

12%

Olivier Faure

$2,047 Wol.

36%

François Hollande

$1,029 Wol.

34%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,654 Wol.

93%

Manuel Bompard

$2,929 Wol.

6%

Mathilde Panot

$17,061 Wol.

5%

Dominique de Villepin

$247 Wol.

53%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.France's 2027 presidential election, scheduled for April 18 with a potential runoff on May 2, features an unusually crowded field of declared and potential candidates following Emmanuel Macron's term-limited exit. Marine Le Pen announced her National Rally bid in July 2026 after an appeals court shortened her eligibility ban related to an embezzlement conviction, positioning her as a frontrunner in early polling. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise run in May, while Gabriel Attal declared for the Renaissance-aligned center and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' nomination via internal vote in April. Left-wing fragmentation persists ahead of an October 11, 2026, United Left primary, and right-wing selection debates continue. These announcements and institutional timelines shape trader focus on 2026 declarations amid coalition negotiations and polling shifts.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$64,746
Data zakończenia
Apr 23, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.France's 2027 presidential election, scheduled for April 18 with a potential runoff on May 2, features an unusually crowded field of declared and potential candidates following Emmanuel Macron's term-limited exit. Marine Le Pen announced her National Rally bid in July 2026 after an appeals court shortened her eligibility ban related to an embezzlement conviction, positioning her as a frontrunner in early polling. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise run in May, while Gabriel Attal declared for the Renaissance-aligned center and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' nomination via internal vote in April. Left-wing fragmentation persists ahead of an October 11, 2026, United Left primary, and right-wing selection debates continue. These announcements and institutional timelines shape trader focus on 2026 declarations amid coalition negotiations and polling shifts.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$64,746
Data zakończenia
Apr 23, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 21 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Gabriel Attal" z 100%, za nim "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" z 100%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" wygenerował $64.7K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 22, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?", przeglądaj 21 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" jest "Gabriel Attal" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" z 100%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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