Skip to main content
icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Wybory·Francja

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Wybory·Francja

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$296,317 Wol.

Apr 16, 2027
Polymarket

$296,317 Wol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$8,680 Wol.

95%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$25,484 Wol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$6,973 Wol.

86%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$14,452 Wol.

85%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$3,614 Wol.

81%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$9,482 Wol.

77%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,826 Wol.

62%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$7,957 Wol.

57%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,597 Wol.

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$6,773 Wol.

56%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,860 Wol.

43%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$14,209 Wol.

42%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$11,296 Wol.

31%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$9,956 Wol.

31%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$10,217 Wol.

31%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$6,992 Wol.

27%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$6,602 Wol.

15%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$21,455 Wol.

13%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$5,011 Wol.

13%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$9,453 Wol.

12%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$8,504 Wol.

12%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$4,697 Wol.

10%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,161 Wol.

8%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$3,119 Wol.

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,341 Wol.

8%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$7,983 Wol.

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,824 Wol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,596 Wol.

7%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$12,661 Wol.

6%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,018 Wol.

6%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$1,075 Wol.

6%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$3,609 Wol.

5%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$681 Wol.

5%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$595 Wol.

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$4,400 Wol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$364 Wol.

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,598 Wol.

3%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$3,088 Wol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$1,934 Wol.

3%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$6,512 Wol.

3%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$20,160 Wol.

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$2,849 Wol.

3%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$829 Wol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$994 Wol.

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,236 Wol.

2%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$3,599 Wol.

34%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Marine Le Pen’s July 2026 appeal ruling, which shortened her eligibility ban and allowed her National Rally candidacy announcement, has clarified the far-right lane while polls show her leading. On the traditional right, The Republicans endorsed Bruno Retailleau outright in April 2026 after an internal vote, ending primary speculation among rivals. The fragmented left faces an October 2026 United Left primary amid ongoing splits between La France Insoumise and the Socialist Party, with multiple figures likely running separately. Centrist contenders including Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe have declared, contributing to an unusually crowded field of roughly 30 potential candidates ahead of the April 2027 first round. These nomination and alliance dynamics directly shape which names appear on the ballot.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$296,317
Data zakończenia
Apr 17, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Marine Le Pen’s July 2026 appeal ruling, which shortened her eligibility ban and allowed her National Rally candidacy announcement, has clarified the far-right lane while polls show her leading. On the traditional right, The Republicans endorsed Bruno Retailleau outright in April 2026 after an internal vote, ending primary speculation among rivals. The fragmented left faces an October 2026 United Left primary amid ongoing splits between La France Insoumise and the Socialist Party, with multiple figures likely running separately. Centrist contenders including Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe have declared, contributing to an unusually crowded field of roughly 30 potential candidates ahead of the April 2027 first round. These nomination and alliance dynamics directly shape which names appear on the ballot.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$296,317
Data zakończenia
Apr 17, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Powiązane

icon for Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

93%
icon for Czy Marine Le Pen wygra wybory prezydenckie we Francji w 2027 roku?

Czy Marine Le Pen wygra wybory prezydenckie we Francji w 2027 roku?

33%
Tak
icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

87%

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 46+ możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" z 95%, za nim "Marine Le Pen" z 88%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 95¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 95% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" wygenerował $296.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 22, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?", przeglądaj 46+ dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" jest "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" z 95%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 95% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Marine Le Pen" z 88%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.