The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, which favored a closed primary limited to its own affiliates and allies over a broader united left process, has driven the market's strong consensus toward cancellation. This decision sidelined participation by the PS and Place Publique, while La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and others had already opted out, leaving only narrower involvement from Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. Subsequent candidate withdrawals, including by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, along with internal party criticisms following the 2026 municipal elections, further eroded momentum for the October 11 primary. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers, though renewed cross-party negotiations before the 2027 presidential cycle could theoretically revive the contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCanceled 93.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$212,616 Wol.
$212,616 Wol.
Oct 10, 2026
Canceled
94%
Marine Tondelier
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Canceled 93.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$212,616 Wol.
$212,616 Wol.
Oct 10, 2026
Canceled
$76,903 Wol.
94%
Marine Tondelier
$49,788 Wol.
1%
François Ruffin
$31,112 Wol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 Wol.
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Wol.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Wol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, which favored a closed primary limited to its own affiliates and allies over a broader united left process, has driven the market's strong consensus toward cancellation. This decision sidelined participation by the PS and Place Publique, while La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and others had already opted out, leaving only narrower involvement from Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. Subsequent candidate withdrawals, including by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, along with internal party criticisms following the 2026 municipal elections, further eroded momentum for the October 11 primary. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers, though renewed cross-party negotiations before the 2027 presidential cycle could theoretically revive the contest.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$212,616Data zakończenia
Oct 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, which favored a closed primary limited to its own affiliates and allies over a broader united left process, has driven the market's strong consensus toward cancellation. This decision sidelined participation by the PS and Place Publique, while La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and others had already opted out, leaving only narrower involvement from Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. Subsequent candidate withdrawals, including by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, along with internal party criticisms following the 2026 municipal elections, further eroded momentum for the October 11 primary. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers, though renewed cross-party negotiations before the 2027 presidential cycle could theoretically revive the contest.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$212,616Data zakończenia
Oct 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, which favored a closed primary limited to its own affiliates and allies over a broader united left process, has driven the market's strong consensus toward cancellation. This decision sidelined participation by the PS and Place Publique, while La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and others had already opted out, leaving only narrower involvement from Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. Subsequent candidate withdrawals, including by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, along with internal party criticisms following the 2026 municipal elections, further eroded momentum for the October 11 primary. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers, though renewed cross-party negotiations before the 2027 presidential cycle could theoretically revive the contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania