Florida's 19th congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship. The area has consistently delivered strong Republican margins, including 66 percent support in the prior cycle, reinforced by the state's recently enacted congressional map favoring a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican primary, with polling and fundraising indicating viable options to maintain party control in the November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders face structural disadvantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. The current 93.5 percent Republican implied probability reflects these fundamentals, though late shifts could occur from primary outcomes producing a weaker nominee, unexpected national midterm dynamics, or turnout surprises in this battleground-leaning state.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFL-19 House Election Winner
FL-19 House Election Winner
$15,478 Wol.
$15,478 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$15,478 Wol.
$15,478 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,769 Wol.
94%
Democratic Party
$9,709 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship. The area has consistently delivered strong Republican margins, including 66 percent support in the prior cycle, reinforced by the state's recently enacted congressional map favoring a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican primary, with polling and fundraising indicating viable options to maintain party control in the November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders face structural disadvantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. The current 93.5 percent Republican implied probability reflects these fundamentals, though late shifts could occur from primary outcomes producing a weaker nominee, unexpected national midterm dynamics, or turnout surprises in this battleground-leaning state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,478Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship. The area has consistently delivered strong Republican margins, including 66 percent support in the prior cycle, reinforced by the state's recently enacted congressional map favoring a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican primary, with polling and fundraising indicating viable options to maintain party control in the November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders face structural disadvantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. The current 93.5 percent Republican implied probability reflects these fundamentals, though late shifts could occur from primary outcomes producing a weaker nominee, unexpected national midterm dynamics, or turnout surprises in this battleground-leaning state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$15,478Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship. The area has consistently delivered strong Republican margins, including 66 percent support in the prior cycle, reinforced by the state's recently enacted congressional map favoring a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican primary, with polling and fundraising indicating viable options to maintain party control in the November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders face structural disadvantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. The current 93.5 percent Republican implied probability reflects these fundamentals, though late shifts could occur from primary outcomes producing a weaker nominee, unexpected national midterm dynamics, or turnout surprises in this battleground-leaning state.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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