California's 38th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index that favors the party in general elections. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Democrat Hilda Solis and Republican Pedro Casas to the November ballot in this open seat, consistent with Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and similar assessments from other forecasters. Trader consensus reflects the district's voter composition across areas like El Monte and eastern Anaheim, where Democratic registration and historical margins limit Republican viability absent major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpected candidate withdrawals, late scandals, or unusually high Republican turnout driven by national conditions, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$60,970 Wol.
$60,970 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
2%
$60,970 Wol.
$60,970 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$30,074 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$30,896 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index that favors the party in general elections. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Democrat Hilda Solis and Republican Pedro Casas to the November ballot in this open seat, consistent with Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and similar assessments from other forecasters. Trader consensus reflects the district's voter composition across areas like El Monte and eastern Anaheim, where Democratic registration and historical margins limit Republican viability absent major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpected candidate withdrawals, late scandals, or unusually high Republican turnout driven by national conditions, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$60,970Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index that favors the party in general elections. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Democrat Hilda Solis and Republican Pedro Casas to the November ballot in this open seat, consistent with Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and similar assessments from other forecasters. Trader consensus reflects the district's voter composition across areas like El Monte and eastern Anaheim, where Democratic registration and historical margins limit Republican viability absent major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpected candidate withdrawals, late scandals, or unusually high Republican turnout driven by national conditions, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$60,970Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index that favors the party in general elections. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Democrat Hilda Solis and Republican Pedro Casas to the November ballot in this open seat, consistent with Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and similar assessments from other forecasters. Trader consensus reflects the district's voter composition across areas like El Monte and eastern Anaheim, where Democratic registration and historical margins limit Republican viability absent major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpected candidate withdrawals, late scandals, or unusually high Republican turnout driven by national conditions, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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