Recent inflation data showing the July CPI easing to 1.5%—near the lower bound of the Bank of Israel's 1–3% target—combined with anchored one-year expectations around the midpoint and a stronger shekel have anchored trader consensus around no change at the rescheduled September 1 meeting, reflected in the 83% market-implied probability. The central bank's July 6 decision to cut the policy rate 25 basis points to 3.5% already incorporated prior easing, with forward guidance signaling gradual adjustments rather than aggressive further moves amid projected 4% GDP growth for 2026 and subdued energy prices following the U.S.–Iran ceasefire. Residual 16.5% odds on a 25-basis-point cut price in scope for additional easing if incoming labor and price data soften further, while near-zero probabilities on hikes underscore limited upside risks. The Monetary Policy Report's emphasis on stable conditions and the proximity to the September decision continue to shape these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of Israel decision in August?
Bank of Israel decision in August?
No Change 83%
25 bps cut 17%
25 bps hike <1%
50+ bps hike <1%
$78,824 Wol.
$78,824 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
50+ bps cut
<1%
25 bps cut
17%
No Change
83%
25 bps hike
1%
50+ bps hike
<1%
No Change 83%
25 bps cut 17%
25 bps hike <1%
50+ bps hike <1%
$78,824 Wol.
$78,824 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
50+ bps cut
$3,779 Wol.
<1%
25 bps cut
$20,668 Wol.
17%
No Change
$48,901 Wol.
83%
25 bps hike
$3,070 Wol.
1%
50+ bps hike
$2,405 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Recent inflation data showing the July CPI easing to 1.5%—near the lower bound of the Bank of Israel's 1–3% target—combined with anchored one-year expectations around the midpoint and a stronger shekel have anchored trader consensus around no change at the rescheduled September 1 meeting, reflected in the 83% market-implied probability. The central bank's July 6 decision to cut the policy rate 25 basis points to 3.5% already incorporated prior easing, with forward guidance signaling gradual adjustments rather than aggressive further moves amid projected 4% GDP growth for 2026 and subdued energy prices following the U.S.–Iran ceasefire. Residual 16.5% odds on a 25-basis-point cut price in scope for additional easing if incoming labor and price data soften further, while near-zero probabilities on hikes underscore limited upside risks. The Monetary Policy Report's emphasis on stable conditions and the proximity to the September decision continue to shape these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$78,824Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Recent inflation data showing the July CPI easing to 1.5%—near the lower bound of the Bank of Israel's 1–3% target—combined with anchored one-year expectations around the midpoint and a stronger shekel have anchored trader consensus around no change at the rescheduled September 1 meeting, reflected in the 83% market-implied probability. The central bank's July 6 decision to cut the policy rate 25 basis points to 3.5% already incorporated prior easing, with forward guidance signaling gradual adjustments rather than aggressive further moves amid projected 4% GDP growth for 2026 and subdued energy prices following the U.S.–Iran ceasefire. Residual 16.5% odds on a 25-basis-point cut price in scope for additional easing if incoming labor and price data soften further, while near-zero probabilities on hikes underscore limited upside risks. The Monetary Policy Report's emphasis on stable conditions and the proximity to the September decision continue to shape these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Wolumen
$78,824Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data showing the July CPI easing to 1.5%—near the lower bound of the Bank of Israel's 1–3% target—combined with anchored one-year expectations around the midpoint and a stronger shekel have anchored trader consensus around no change at the rescheduled September 1 meeting, reflected in the 83% market-implied probability. The central bank's July 6 decision to cut the policy rate 25 basis points to 3.5% already incorporated prior easing, with forward guidance signaling gradual adjustments rather than aggressive further moves amid projected 4% GDP growth for 2026 and subdued energy prices following the U.S.–Iran ceasefire. Residual 16.5% odds on a 25-basis-point cut price in scope for additional easing if incoming labor and price data soften further, while near-zero probabilities on hikes underscore limited upside risks. The Monetary Policy Report's emphasis on stable conditions and the proximity to the September decision continue to shape these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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