The overwhelming 98% implied probability for “No” stems from traders viewing the Second Coming as a core tenet of Christian eschatology without any verified signs, official announcements, or cultural momentum indicating an arrival before 2027. With only months remaining, the market consensus treats the outcome as outside observable historical patterns or current religious discourse, where predictions of an imminent return have repeatedly failed to materialize. No guild-style precursors, streaming surges, or public statements from major faith leaders have shifted sentiment. A realistic upset would require an unprecedented global event widely accepted as prophetic fulfillment, though such a scenario remains highly speculative and unlikely to meet standard resolution criteria in time.