Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez secured his party's nomination unopposed in the June 2 primary and now faces Republican Greg Cunningham, who won his party's nomination the same day after an opponent withdrew. The district's even partisan voting index and Vasquez's narrow 2024 reelection create a competitive environment, though the seat's historical Democratic tilt and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition support trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A late-April poll showed Vasquez narrowly ahead, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as lean Democratic or a toss-up, with limited post-primary movement so far ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$17,574 거래량
$17,574 거래량
2026.11.04
민주당
74%
공화당
27%
$17,574 거래량
$17,574 거래량
2026.11.04
민주당
$1,496 거래량
74%
공화당
$16,078 거래량
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez secured his party's nomination unopposed in the June 2 primary and now faces Republican Greg Cunningham, who won his party's nomination the same day after an opponent withdrew. The district's even partisan voting index and Vasquez's narrow 2024 reelection create a competitive environment, though the seat's historical Democratic tilt and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition support trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A late-April poll showed Vasquez narrowly ahead, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as lean Democratic or a toss-up, with limited post-primary movement so far ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
거래량
$17,574종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez secured his party's nomination unopposed in the June 2 primary and now faces Republican Greg Cunningham, who won his party's nomination the same day after an opponent withdrew. The district's even partisan voting index and Vasquez's narrow 2024 reelection create a competitive environment, though the seat's historical Democratic tilt and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition support trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A late-April poll showed Vasquez narrowly ahead, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as lean Democratic or a toss-up, with limited post-primary movement so far ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$17,574종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez secured his party's nomination unopposed in the June 2 primary and now faces Republican Greg Cunningham, who won his party's nomination the same day after an opponent withdrew. The district's even partisan voting index and Vasquez's narrow 2024 reelection create a competitive environment, though the seat's historical Democratic tilt and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition support trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A late-April poll showed Vasquez narrowly ahead, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as lean Democratic or a toss-up, with limited post-primary movement so far ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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