Montana’s 1st congressional district race remains open following Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement announcement, with nominees Democrat Sam Forstag and Republican Aaron Flint advancing from the June 2 primaries. Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader, and Flint, a conservative radio host positioned as Zinke’s successor, face off in a western Montana district that includes Democratic-leaning population centers like Missoula and Bozeman alongside more rural Republican areas. The seat’s modest Republican tilt and historical margins have produced a competitive environment, where national midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, and voter turnout in key counties could determine the outcome. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee ahead, reflecting assessments of Forstag’s profile and district-specific factors that may offset the open-seat baseline favoring Republicans.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
64%
Republican Party
37%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$518 거래량
64%
Republican Party
$1,047 거래량
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 1st congressional district race remains open following Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement announcement, with nominees Democrat Sam Forstag and Republican Aaron Flint advancing from the June 2 primaries. Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader, and Flint, a conservative radio host positioned as Zinke’s successor, face off in a western Montana district that includes Democratic-leaning population centers like Missoula and Bozeman alongside more rural Republican areas. The seat’s modest Republican tilt and historical margins have produced a competitive environment, where national midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, and voter turnout in key counties could determine the outcome. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee ahead, reflecting assessments of Forstag’s profile and district-specific factors that may offset the open-seat baseline favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
거래량
$1,566종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 1st congressional district race remains open following Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement announcement, with nominees Democrat Sam Forstag and Republican Aaron Flint advancing from the June 2 primaries. Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader, and Flint, a conservative radio host positioned as Zinke’s successor, face off in a western Montana district that includes Democratic-leaning population centers like Missoula and Bozeman alongside more rural Republican areas. The seat’s modest Republican tilt and historical margins have produced a competitive environment, where national midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, and voter turnout in key counties could determine the outcome. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee ahead, reflecting assessments of Forstag’s profile and district-specific factors that may offset the open-seat baseline favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,566종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana’s 1st congressional district race remains open following Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement announcement, with nominees Democrat Sam Forstag and Republican Aaron Flint advancing from the June 2 primaries. Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader, and Flint, a conservative radio host positioned as Zinke’s successor, face off in a western Montana district that includes Democratic-leaning population centers like Missoula and Bozeman alongside more rural Republican areas. The seat’s modest Republican tilt and historical margins have produced a competitive environment, where national midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, and voter turnout in key counties could determine the outcome. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee ahead, reflecting assessments of Forstag’s profile and district-specific factors that may offset the open-seat baseline favoring Republicans.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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