Recent robust U.S. jobs data has reinforced expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve path, driving gold futures sharply lower and positioning the $4,200–$4,600 settlement range as the market-implied favorite at 43.5% for the June COMEX contract. Gold traded near $4,337 per ounce on June 5 after a single-session decline exceeding $130, reflecting firmer Treasury yields and a stronger dollar that have erased prior 2026 gains from the January peak above $5,600. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions continue to underpin longer-term support, yet near-term pricing incorporates reduced odds of aggressive rate cuts. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications through late June for further signals on monetary policy that could shift implied probabilities across the $3,800–$5,000 bands.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$4,200~$4,600 43.5%
$3,800-$4,200 26.9%
$4,600~$5,000 12%
$3,800 미만 6.2%
$1,022,396 거래량
$1,022,396 거래량
2026.06.30
$3,800 미만
6%
$3,800-$4,200
27%
$4,200~$4,600
44%
$4,600~$5,000
12%
$5,000~$5,400
4%
$5,400~$5,800
1%
$5,800~$6,200
1%
6,200달러 초과
1%
$4,200~$4,600 43.5%
$3,800-$4,200 26.9%
$4,600~$5,000 12%
$3,800 미만 6.2%
$1,022,396 거래량
$1,022,396 거래량
2026.06.30
$3,800 미만
$236,111 거래량
6%
$3,800-$4,200
$65,035 거래량
27%
$4,200~$4,600
$60,479 거래량
44%
$4,600~$5,000
$57,083 거래량
12%
$5,000~$5,400
$74,638 거래량
4%
$5,400~$5,800
$66,246 거래량
1%
$5,800~$6,200
$250,646 거래량
1%
6,200달러 초과
$212,158 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent robust U.S. jobs data has reinforced expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve path, driving gold futures sharply lower and positioning the $4,200–$4,600 settlement range as the market-implied favorite at 43.5% for the June COMEX contract. Gold traded near $4,337 per ounce on June 5 after a single-session decline exceeding $130, reflecting firmer Treasury yields and a stronger dollar that have erased prior 2026 gains from the January peak above $5,600. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions continue to underpin longer-term support, yet near-term pricing incorporates reduced odds of aggressive rate cuts. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications through late June for further signals on monetary policy that could shift implied probabilities across the $3,800–$5,000 bands.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
거래량
$1,022,396종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent robust U.S. jobs data has reinforced expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve path, driving gold futures sharply lower and positioning the $4,200–$4,600 settlement range as the market-implied favorite at 43.5% for the June COMEX contract. Gold traded near $4,337 per ounce on June 5 after a single-session decline exceeding $130, reflecting firmer Treasury yields and a stronger dollar that have erased prior 2026 gains from the January peak above $5,600. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions continue to underpin longer-term support, yet near-term pricing incorporates reduced odds of aggressive rate cuts. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications through late June for further signals on monetary policy that could shift implied probabilities across the $3,800–$5,000 bands.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
거래량
$1,022,396종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETRecent robust U.S. jobs data has reinforced expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve path, driving gold futures sharply lower and positioning the $4,200–$4,600 settlement range as the market-implied favorite at 43.5% for the June COMEX contract. Gold traded near $4,337 per ounce on June 5 after a single-session decline exceeding $130, reflecting firmer Treasury yields and a stronger dollar that have erased prior 2026 gains from the January peak above $5,600. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions continue to underpin longer-term support, yet near-term pricing incorporates reduced odds of aggressive rate cuts. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications through late June for further signals on monetary policy that could shift implied probabilities across the $3,800–$5,000 bands.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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