Rising federal debt above $39 trillion and elevated debt-to-GDP ratios continue to pressure U.S. sovereign credit metrics, yet the 70.5% market-implied probability against another downgrade before 2027 stems primarily from the stable outlooks assigned by Moody’s, Fitch, and S&P after Moody’s May 2025 Aa1 cut—the final major agency to move below Aaa. With Scope’s October 2025 notch lower already absorbed and no debt-ceiling crisis looming, trader consensus prices limited near-term rating volatility despite ongoing fiscal deficits. Key upcoming catalysts include 2026 budget negotiations and any shifts in Treasury yields or growth data that could alter agency assessments of fiscal sustainability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2027년 이전의 또 다른 미국 부채 하향 조정?
2027년 이전의 또 다른 미국 부채 하향 조정?
$10,860 거래량
$10,860 거래량
2026.12.31
$10,860 거래량
$10,860 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Rising federal debt above $39 trillion and elevated debt-to-GDP ratios continue to pressure U.S. sovereign credit metrics, yet the 70.5% market-implied probability against another downgrade before 2027 stems primarily from the stable outlooks assigned by Moody’s, Fitch, and S&P after Moody’s May 2025 Aa1 cut—the final major agency to move below Aaa. With Scope’s October 2025 notch lower already absorbed and no debt-ceiling crisis looming, trader consensus prices limited near-term rating volatility despite ongoing fiscal deficits. Key upcoming catalysts include 2026 budget negotiations and any shifts in Treasury yields or growth data that could alter agency assessments of fiscal sustainability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
거래량
$10,860종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Rising federal debt above $39 trillion and elevated debt-to-GDP ratios continue to pressure U.S. sovereign credit metrics, yet the 70.5% market-implied probability against another downgrade before 2027 stems primarily from the stable outlooks assigned by Moody’s, Fitch, and S&P after Moody’s May 2025 Aa1 cut—the final major agency to move below Aaa. With Scope’s October 2025 notch lower already absorbed and no debt-ceiling crisis looming, trader consensus prices limited near-term rating volatility despite ongoing fiscal deficits. Key upcoming catalysts include 2026 budget negotiations and any shifts in Treasury yields or growth data that could alter agency assessments of fiscal sustainability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$10,860종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rising federal debt above $39 trillion and elevated debt-to-GDP ratios continue to pressure U.S. sovereign credit metrics, yet the 70.5% market-implied probability against another downgrade before 2027 stems primarily from the stable outlooks assigned by Moody’s, Fitch, and S&P after Moody’s May 2025 Aa1 cut—the final major agency to move below Aaa. With Scope’s October 2025 notch lower already absorbed and no debt-ceiling crisis looming, trader consensus prices limited near-term rating volatility despite ongoing fiscal deficits. Key upcoming catalysts include 2026 budget negotiations and any shifts in Treasury yields or growth data that could alter agency assessments of fiscal sustainability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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