2026年ワールドカップのオッズと予想

Staged every four years, the World Cup is the most prestigious tournament in international soccer, bringing the world’s top national teams together. And the 2026 FIFA World Cup is the biggest edition yet, with 48 teams playing 104 matches across the United States, Canada and Mexico from June 11 through July 19.

The first World Cup ever co-hosted by three countries has stretched across 16 host cities, from Los Angeles and Seattle to Toronto, Mexico City and New York/New Jersey. MetLife Stadium is scheduled to host the championship match on July 19.

The expanded 48-team field transformed the competition. Twelve groups of four teams opened the tournament, with each group winner and runner-up advancing alongside the eight best third-place finishers to a newly-introduced Round of 32. From there, the knockout rounds run through the Round of 16, quarterfinals and semi-finals before the championship match.

That new format has produced plenty of chaos. Germany and the Netherlands were eliminated on penalty kicks in the Round of 32, while Brazil fell to Norway in the Round of 16. Portugal, Mexico and the USMNT also went home before the quarterfinals. Paraguay reached the Round of 16 after eliminating Germany, while Morocco, Switzerland and Norway reached the final eight.

The quarterfinal field mixed established powers with breakthrough contenders. France, Argentina, Spain and England, joined by Belgium, Morocco, Norway and Switzerland. France won each of its first five matches while outscoring opponents 14-2, Spain had yet to concede a goal, and defending champion Argentina survived back-to-back 3-2 thrillers in the knockout stage.

The tournament’s biggest stars have also delivered throughout the group stage and knockout rounds. Lionel Messi entered the quarterfinals as the top goalscorer with eight total goals for Argentina, followed by Kylian Mbappé and Erling Haaland with seven apiece. Harry Kane has scored six times for England, keeping Golden Boot odds moving.

The three host nations each made the knockout stage. Mexico won Group A before beating Ecuador and pushing England in a 3-2 Round of 16 loss. Canada defeated South Africa before falling to Morocco. The USMNT won Group D, beat Bosnia and Herzegovina and then saw its tournament end with a 4-1 loss to Belgium.

Other countries saw their stage of elimination arrive much earlier. Uruguay and Saudi Arabia exited in the group stage, while Senegal fell to Belgium in extra time in the Round of 32. For every group winner that carried momentum deep into the bracket, another contender saw its stage of elimination come far earlier.

The semi-finals delivered two very different paths to the championship match. On July 14 in Dallas, Spain dispatched France 2-0 with the kind of controlled, efficient display that has defined its tournament. Mikel Oyarzabal converted a 22nd-minute penalty and Pedro Porro added a second goal in the 58th minute, while Spain's defensive organization kept Kylian Mbappé and the 2022 runners-up largely quiet. A night later in Atlanta, Argentina produced yet another late escape, coming from behind to beat England 2-1. Anthony Gordon put England ahead in the 55th minute, but Enzo Fernández equalized in the 85th and Lautaro Martínez struck the winner in second-half stoppage time, sending the defending champion to its second consecutive final.

That sets up a Spain vs. Argentina final on Sunday, July 19, at 3:00 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, a matchup many are calling a dream final. Spain brings tactical discipline, midfield control anchored by Rodri and the explosive talent of 18-year-old standout Lamine Yamal. Argentina counters with Lionel Messi, still producing at the highest level, and the resilience it showed in the semi-final comeback, with Lautaro Martínez emerging as a key goal threat alongside Messi's creativity. The storylines write themselves: the generational contrast between the veteran maestro and the teenage phenom, Spain's defensive solidity against Argentina's knack for scoring late, and the chance for Messi to lift a second World Cup title.

Those results show why 2026 World Cup odds can move so quickly. A single goal, extra-time winner or penalty shootout can eliminate a favorite or turn an underdog into a contender. Bettors may track the outright winner, which teams are most likely to reach the final, and markets such as both teams to score.

Traditional betting sites offer fixed odds and moneylines on matches and tournament futures. The FanDuel Sportsbook, DraftKings, BetMGM and Fanatics may also feature live betting, same-game parlays and player prop markets. Those markets are typically structured around bets placed against sportsbook prices, with payouts determined by the odds offered at the time of the wager.

Prediction markets offer a different approach. On Polymarket, users trade probabilities, with soccer odds and tournament expectations updating in real time. Rather than placing a single wager at fixed odds and waiting for the result, traders can react as new information changes the outlook for each team and trade any time before an outcome officially resolves.

This exchange-style structure gives prediction markets a different dynamic from traditional sports betting. Market prices reflect changing crowd expectations, allowing users to follow how the perceived probability of an outcome rises or falls. Markets can cover the outright winner, a team’s stage of elimination, Golden Boot odds and whether a nation will reach a particular round.

The 2026 World Cup has offered plenty of examples. France, Argentina, Spain and England all reached the quarterfinals after winning their groups, while Brazil, Germany and the Netherlands were eliminated earlier. Norway's run behind Haaland and Morocco's return to the final eight have created new contenders, while Messi's scoring surge has strengthened Argentina's bid to repeat as world champion.

With the final set between Spain and Argentina, one match will decide everything, and any development, from a lineup change to an early goal or late equalizer, can dramatically reshape 2026 World Cup odds. The winner at MetLife Stadium on July 19 will be crowned the outright champion.

Few sporting events combine global scale, national pride and high-stakes drama quite like the FIFA World Cup. Whether following the match schedule, analyzing soccer odds or tracking probabilities on a prediction market, the FIFA World Cup 2026 offers a constantly changing view of who may ultimately lift the trophy.