Valve's unpredictable hero cadence, with typical gaps of eight to twelve months since the post-7.00 era, underpins the 63% implied probability for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo, the bard-frog support, arrived in December 2025 after a 403-day wait from Kez, placing the community roughly nine months into the next cycle by early September 2026. Major 2026 events including the June Dark Carnival update and The International in August yielded no new playable character, yet datamined assets for Arjun—a chariot-themed figure—signal ongoing development. Traders weigh Valve's history of surprise drops against the absence of official teases or guild-like precursor signals, leaving room for an upset if the studio extends its recent drought into the final quarter.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Valveは12月31日までに新しいDota 2ヒーローをリリースしますか？
Valveは12月31日までに新しいDota 2ヒーローをリリースしますか？
はい
63% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
63% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Valve's unpredictable hero cadence, with typical gaps of eight to twelve months since the post-7.00 era, underpins the 63% implied probability for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo, the bard-frog support, arrived in December 2025 after a 403-day wait from Kez, placing the community roughly nine months into the next cycle by early September 2026. Major 2026 events including the June Dark Carnival update and The International in August yielded no new playable character, yet datamined assets for Arjun—a chariot-themed figure—signal ongoing development. Traders weigh Valve's history of surprise drops against the absence of official teases or guild-like precursor signals, leaving room for an upset if the studio extends its recent drought into the final quarter.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:02 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Valve's unpredictable hero cadence, with typical gaps of eight to twelve months since the post-7.00 era, underpins the 63% implied probability for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo, the bard-frog support, arrived in December 2025 after a 403-day wait from Kez, placing the community roughly nine months into the next cycle by early September 2026. Major 2026 events including the June Dark Carnival update and The International in August yielded no new playable character, yet datamined assets for Arjun—a chariot-themed figure—signal ongoing development. Traders weigh Valve's history of surprise drops against the absence of official teases or guild-like precursor signals, leaving room for an upset if the studio extends its recent drought into the final quarter.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:02 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Valve's unpredictable hero cadence, with typical gaps of eight to twelve months since the post-7.00 era, underpins the 63% implied probability for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo, the bard-frog support, arrived in December 2025 after a 403-day wait from Kez, placing the community roughly nine months into the next cycle by early September 2026. Major 2026 events including the June Dark Carnival update and The International in August yielded no new playable character, yet datamined assets for Arjun—a chariot-themed figure—signal ongoing development. Traders weigh Valve's history of surprise drops against the absence of official teases or guild-like precursor signals, leaving room for an upset if the studio extends its recent drought into the final quarter.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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