The upcoming Trump-Xi state visit to Washington on September 24 occurs amid persistent U.S.-China strategic competition, unresolved trade frictions, and tensions over Taiwan that have prompted recent warnings from Beijing. Prior summits, including the May 2026 meeting in Beijing and earlier encounters, featured only handshakes, brief arm pats, and ceremonial protocol without embraces, consistent with Chinese diplomatic norms favoring restraint over personal gestures. Preparatory talks and official statements emphasize managed bilateral engagement rather than rapport-building optics. This pattern underpins the 79% implied probability that no hug will occur, reflecting trader consensus on historical precedent and the event's formal character ahead of scheduled discussions on tariffs, export controls, and regional stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
20% 確率
新規
新規
2026/10/07
はい
20% 確率
新規
新規
2026/10/07
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released during the summit to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.The upcoming Trump-Xi state visit to Washington on September 24 occurs amid persistent U.S.-China strategic competition, unresolved trade frictions, and tensions over Taiwan that have prompted recent warnings from Beijing. Prior summits, including the May 2026 meeting in Beijing and earlier encounters, featured only handshakes, brief arm pats, and ceremonial protocol without embraces, consistent with Chinese diplomatic norms favoring restraint over personal gestures. Preparatory talks and official statements emphasize managed bilateral engagement rather than rapport-building optics. This pattern underpins the 79% implied probability that no hug will occur, reflecting trader consensus on historical precedent and the event's formal character ahead of scheduled discussions on tariffs, export controls, and regional stability.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released during the summit to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released during the summit to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
音量
$200終了日
2026/10/08マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 5:49 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released during the summit to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.The upcoming Trump-Xi state visit to Washington on September 24 occurs amid persistent U.S.-China strategic competition, unresolved trade frictions, and tensions over Taiwan that have prompted recent warnings from Beijing. Prior summits, including the May 2026 meeting in Beijing and earlier encounters, featured only handshakes, brief arm pats, and ceremonial protocol without embraces, consistent with Chinese diplomatic norms favoring restraint over personal gestures. Preparatory talks and official statements emphasize managed bilateral engagement rather than rapport-building optics. This pattern underpins the 79% implied probability that no hug will occur, reflecting trader consensus on historical precedent and the event's formal character ahead of scheduled discussions on tariffs, export controls, and regional stability.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released during the summit to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released during the summit to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
音量
$200終了日
2026/10/08マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 5:49 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The upcoming Trump-Xi state visit to Washington on September 24 occurs amid persistent U.S.-China strategic competition, unresolved trade frictions, and tensions over Taiwan that have prompted recent warnings from Beijing. Prior summits, including the May 2026 meeting in Beijing and earlier encounters, featured only handshakes, brief arm pats, and ceremonial protocol without embraces, consistent with Chinese diplomatic norms favoring restraint over personal gestures. Preparatory talks and official statements emphasize managed bilateral engagement rather than rapport-building optics. This pattern underpins the 79% implied probability that no hug will occur, reflecting trader consensus on historical precedent and the event's formal character ahead of scheduled discussions on tariffs, export controls, and regional stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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