The strong 87.5% market-implied odds against the Salvator Mundi appearing in a public exhibition or permanent gallery by December 31, 2026, reflect its unbroken absence from view since the 2017 Christie's sale and its continued storage under Saudi ownership. Traders are pricing in repeated delays around planned museum projects in Al-Ula and Riyadh, where the work has been held as a future anchor piece rather than an immediate draw. No official announcements, loan agreements, or confirmed timelines have emerged in 2025–2026 to alter that trajectory, while a workshop version at TEFAF Maastricht and unrelated institutional tributes underscore how the original remains sidelined. Any last-minute Saudi cultural announcement or accelerated museum opening could shift sentiment, but current conditions point to further postponement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?
新規
新規
2026/12/31
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.The strong 87.5% market-implied odds against the Salvator Mundi appearing in a public exhibition or permanent gallery by December 31, 2026, reflect its unbroken absence from view since the 2017 Christie's sale and its continued storage under Saudi ownership. Traders are pricing in repeated delays around planned museum projects in Al-Ula and Riyadh, where the work has been held as a future anchor piece rather than an immediate draw. No official announcements, loan agreements, or confirmed timelines have emerged in 2025–2026 to alter that trajectory, while a workshop version at TEFAF Maastricht and unrelated institutional tributes underscore how the original remains sidelined. Any last-minute Saudi cultural announcement or accelerated museum opening could shift sentiment, but current conditions point to further postponement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
音量
$2,132終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.The strong 87.5% market-implied odds against the Salvator Mundi appearing in a public exhibition or permanent gallery by December 31, 2026, reflect its unbroken absence from view since the 2017 Christie's sale and its continued storage under Saudi ownership. Traders are pricing in repeated delays around planned museum projects in Al-Ula and Riyadh, where the work has been held as a future anchor piece rather than an immediate draw. No official announcements, loan agreements, or confirmed timelines have emerged in 2025–2026 to alter that trajectory, while a workshop version at TEFAF Maastricht and unrelated institutional tributes underscore how the original remains sidelined. Any last-minute Saudi cultural announcement or accelerated museum opening could shift sentiment, but current conditions point to further postponement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
音量
$2,132終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The strong 87.5% market-implied odds against the Salvator Mundi appearing in a public exhibition or permanent gallery by December 31, 2026, reflect its unbroken absence from view since the 2017 Christie's sale and its continued storage under Saudi ownership. Traders are pricing in repeated delays around planned museum projects in Al-Ula and Riyadh, where the work has been held as a future anchor piece rather than an immediate draw. No official announcements, loan agreements, or confirmed timelines have emerged in 2025–2026 to alter that trajectory, while a workshop version at TEFAF Maastricht and unrelated institutional tributes underscore how the original remains sidelined. Any last-minute Saudi cultural announcement or accelerated museum opening could shift sentiment, but current conditions point to further postponement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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